Senate News & Analysis

Iowa Senate: Ernst Out, Republicans Still Favored

August 29, 2025 · 2:20 PM EDT

By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

Republican Sen. Joni Ernst will not run for re-election, according to CBS News and several other outlets. The Iowa senator’s plans had been the subject of rumors in Washington, DC for months, after a rocky start to the year prompted speculation…

House & Senate Report Shorts (Aug. 28, 2025)

August 28, 2025 · 2:26 PM EDT

Connecticut’s 1st District. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest filed to run, but it’s not clear whether she’s planning to challenge long-time Rep. John Larson in the Democratic primary or expects there to be an open seat. Roll Call’s Daniela Altimari pointed out that Gilchrest took on the West Hartford Democratic machine…

Podcast Episode 53: OH-IO Senate Rating Change + Redistricting w/ Kyle Kondik of Crystal Ball

August 21, 2025 · 3:37 PM EDT

Inside Elections' Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin along with Kyle Kondik of Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia dive into the Ohio Senate race where former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown is challenging Republican Sen. Jon Husted, who was appointed to replace Vice President J.D. Vance, in a…

Ohio Senate: Brown Decision Shifts Race Out of Solid

August 12, 2025 · 2:33 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown plans to run against GOP Sen. Jon Husted in the 2026 Ohio Senate race, according to Jeremy Pelzer of Cleveland.com.

Brown’s entry would give Democrats their top potential recruit since Brown has been elected statewide five…

Podcast Episode 52: 2026 Senate Map + New Senate Race Ratings

July 24, 2025 · 3:19 PM EDT

Inside Elections' Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin focus on the 2026 Senate map including a deep dive into four most important states at the core of the battleground (Georgia, Maine, Michigan and North Carolina) as well as other important states to watch including Iowa, Texas, Alaska, New Hampshire and Minnesota.…

2026 Senate Overview: Will There be More Beyond the Core Four?

July 24, 2025 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin

Republicans and Democrats don’t see eye-to-eye on much these days, but the two parties agree on the core of the Senate battleground. Georgia, Maine, Michigan and North Carolina are at the center of the fight for the majority, though Democrats can’t get control…

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2025): Alabama - Kansas

July 24, 2025 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Open; Tommy Tuberville (R) running for governor. Filing deadline Jan. 23. Primary May 19. Runoff (if necessary) June 16. State Attorney General Steve Marshall looks like the frontrunner to succeed Tuberville but the GOP primary is still highly unsettled and several more candidates could jump in before the end…

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2025): Kentucky - New Mexico

July 24, 2025 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kentucky. Open; Mitch McConnell (R), not seeking re-election. Filing deadline Jan. 9. Primary May 19. Rep. Andy Barr, former state Attorney General Daniel Cameron, and Lexington businessman Nate Morris are vying for the GOP nomination to succeed McConnell, the winner of which will be the heavy favorite in the general…

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2026): North Carolina - Wyoming

July 24, 2025 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. Open; Thom Tillis (R) not seeking re-election. Filing deadline Dec. 19. Primary March 3. Runoff (if necessary) May 12. Gov. Roy Cooper will reportedly jump into the Senate race after months of speculation, giving Democrats a top-tier recruit in a must win state. Former Rep. Wiley Nickel is…

Podcast Episode 51: All Things Iowa w/ Brianne Pfannenstiel of The Des Moines Register

July 15, 2025 · 2:14 PM EDT

Inside Elections' Jacob Rubashkin and Brianne Pfannenstiel of The Des Moines Register break down the key Iowa races including Republican Senator Joni Ernst’s fight for re-election, the race for the open governorship left behind by Republican Kim Reynolds and multiple competitive House races where Republican incumbents Zach Nunn, Ashley Hinson…