Senate News & Analysis

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): North Carolina - Wyoming

October 23, 2025 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. Open; Thom Tillis (R) not seeking re-election. Filing deadline Dec. 19. Primary March 3. Runoff (if necessary) May 12. The general election matchup is effectively set more than a year ahead of the midterms: Democratic former Gov. Roy Cooper will face off against former RNC chairman Michael Whatley…

New Hampshire Senate: Sununu Bid Boosts Republican Chances

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 22, 2025 · 1:02 PM EDT

Former Sen. John E. Sununu announced a comeback bid in New Hampshire on Wednesday, boosting Republican chances of winning the seat near the core of the fight for Senate control in 2026.

Republicans remain favored to maintain their majority at this stage of the cycle because Democrats need a net…

Podcast Episode 57: Can Anyone Defeat Susan Collins? w/ Alex Seitz-Wald of Midcoast Villager

October 16, 2025 · 2:56 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Alex Seitz-Wald of The Midcoast Villager take a deep dive into Maine with a focus on the Democratic Senate primary between Gov. Janet Mills and oysterman Graham Platner before taking on Republican Susan Collins, a look at the 2nd District battle between Democratic Rep. Jared…

Report Shorts (Oct. 9, 2025)

October 9, 2025 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kentucky Senate. Former Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath joined the Democratic race for the open seat left by retiring GOP Sen. Mitch McConnell. After losing a close House race to Republican Andy Barr in 2018, McGrath gained national attention for her run against McConnell in 2020. She raised and spent…

Podcast Episode 56: Midterms, NFL, Kentucky Derby w/ Steve Kornacki of NBC News

October 1, 2025 · 7:20 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Steve Kornacki of NBC News take a fresh look at the battle for the House majority with a little more than a year before the midterm elections, analyze the latest numbers in the race for governor in New Jersey this year and talk about how…

Iowa Senate: Democrats Reach for Open Seat

by Jacob Rubashkin September 25, 2025 · 2:30 PM EDT

One of the final pieces of the Senate battleground fell into place last month when GOP Sen. Joni Ernst announced she would not seek re-election to a third term in Iowa.

Ernst’s decision was not entirely surprising. The retired Army lieutenant colonel had a difficult 2025, dealing with the backlash…

Podcast Episode 55: Two Biggest Races of 2025 w/ Abby Turner of National Journal’s Hotline

September 18, 2025 · 2:45 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Abby Turner of National Journal’s Hotline analyze the key messages and strategies ahead of the two biggest races of 2025 (the New Jersey and Virginia races for governor) as Republicans try to keep up their momentum from 2024 and Democrats try to get a bump…

Senate & Governor Report Shorts (Sept. 11, 2025)

September 11, 2025 · 1:56 PM EDT

Colorado Governor. GOP state Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer announced her campaign for governor on Tuesday. She lost a close race to Democrat Yadira Caraveo in 2022 in the 8th District. The Republican field already has more than 10 candidates including state Sen. Mark Baisley and former Rep. Greg Lopez. The nominee…

Podcast Episode 54: Big Texas Senate Primary + Redistricting w/ Gabby Birenbaum of Texas Tribune

September 9, 2025 · 11:09 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Gabby Birenbaum of The Texas Tribune break down the critical Republican primary in the Texas Senate race between Sen. John Cornyn and state Attorney General Ken Paxton and analyze the five individual House seats most affected by Republicans’ mid-decade redistricting effort encouraged by President Donald…

Iowa Senate: Ernst Out, Republicans Still Favored

August 29, 2025 · 2:20 PM EDT

By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

Republican Sen. Joni Ernst will not run for re-election, according to CBS News and several other outlets. The Iowa senator’s plans had been the subject of rumors in Washington, DC for months, after a rocky start to the year prompted speculation…