House News & Analysis

Report Shorts (Feb. 6, 2025)

February 6, 2025 · 2:26 PM EST

Arizona’s 6th District. Democratic single-mom/retired Marine JoAnna “Jo” Mendoza announced her challenge to GOP Rep. Juan Ciscomani in a competitive, suburban district  southeast of Phoenix. Ciscomani won re-election by 2.5 points in one of the most competitive races in the country with help from Donald Trump at the of the…

Podcast Episode 39: Surprise Michigan Senate Retirement Reaction w/ Melissa Burke of Detroit News

January 30, 2025 · 12:32 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Melissa Nann Burke of the Detroit News analyze Democratic Sen. Gary Peters’ decision not to run for re-election in the battleground state of Michigan, discuss the candidates who might run, and the impact of the Senate race on the race for governor and key House…

The Primary is the Ballgame in Two Florida House Specials

by Jacob Rubashkin January 24, 2025 · 2:29 PM EST

Republicans held onto their narrow majority in 2024, but President Donald Trump’s cabinet selections made the margin in the House even closer.

Matt Gaetz only spent a week as President Donald Trump’s attorney general nominee before withdrawing from consideration, but he still resigned his Florida Panhandle congressional seat ahead of…

Report Shorts (Jan. 24, 2025)

January 24, 2025 · 2:27 PM EST

Alabama Governor. Gov. Kay Ivey is term-limited, setting up a competitive GOP primary to replace her. Lt. Gov. Will Ainsworth had said he’d make up his mind in February or March, but now says he’ll wait until the upcoming legislative session ends in May. Agriculture Commissioner Rick Pate said he’d…

Podcast Episode 38: Trump Cabinet, 2026 Senate, Media Trust w/ Meg Kinnard of the AP

January 17, 2025 · 9:44 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Meg Kinnard of the Associated Press talk about the political dynamics and implications for President Donald Trump’s cabinet choices, analyze the initial 2026 Senate battleground including the five most important races and handicap how difficult it will be for Democrats to win the majority, and…

Governor & House Report Shorts (Jan. 9, 2025)

January 9, 2025 · 2:26 PM EST

California’s 9th District. Strength coach John McBride, a Republican who placed third in the 2024 all-party primary with 13 percent, filed to run against Rep. Josh Harder a second time in this northern California seat.

California’s 40th District. Art gallery owner Esther Kim Varet filed paperwork to run as a…

Florida 20: House Ethics Committee Releases Initial Cherfilus-McCormick Report

by Jacob Rubashkin January 7, 2025 · 9:58 AM EST

Democratic Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick remains the subject of a House Ethics Committee investigation, and documents released by the committee last week confirm Inside Elections’s reporting on the South Florida congresswoman’s unusual campaign finances and taxpayer-funded TV ads.

On Thursday, the House Ethics Committee published a report…

California 45: Tran Melts Steel’s Advantage

by Jacob Rubashkin December 19, 2024 · 2:30 PM EST

How did a little-known attorney, a first-time candidate who “came out of nowhere,” defeat a mainstay of Orange County politics in one of the closest races of the 2024 cycle?

That’s the question Republicans are asking themselves in California’s 45th District after Derek Tran, a 44-year-old lawyer, Army veteran and…

Report Shorts (December 19, 2024)

December 19, 2024 · 2:29 PM EST

Florida’s 7th District. The House Ethics Committee is investigating GOP Rep. Cory Mills, but it’s not clear what he potentially did wrong. Mills just won re-election by 14 points in the Central Florida seat, and Donald Trump finished ahead of Kamala Harris by 12.5 points, according to elections analyst Matt…

Podcast Episode 37: 2024 Election Hits & Misses, Nebraska 2, Online Scams

December 13, 2024 · 1:50 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin talk about what they got right (and wrong) in the 2024 elections, do a deep dive into one of the most competitive House races in the country and how Rep. Don Bacon was able to survive, and look ahead to the 2026 fight for the…