House News & Analysis

Podcast Episode 46: What’s up with Redistricting? w/ David Wasserman of The Cook Political Report

May 7, 2025 · 11:52 AM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and David Wasserman of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter analyze the handful of states where redistricting and new congressional maps could affect the fight for the House majority and take a broader look at how redistricting impacts our elections and the partisan mood of…

Wisconsin 3: Drifting Red or Drifting Blue?

by Jacob Rubashkin May 1, 2025 · 2:29 PM EDT

Wisconsin is often described as the capital of the political world. But the Badger State is home to just one competitive congressional seat, western Wisconsin’s 3rd District.

The 3rd, currently represented by Republican Derrick Van Orden, has an Inside Elections Baseline score of just R+1.3, making it one of the…

Report Shorts (May 1, 2025)

May 1, 2025 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona’s 5th District. Former Cardinals, Bears and Giants kicker Jay Feely announced his campaign for the open seat being left behind by GOP Rep. Andy Biggs, who is running for governor. President Donald Trump finished ahead of Kamala Harris by nearly 20 points in a seat that includes Gilbert and…

Podcast Episode 45: Trump Policy in Key States, Election Coverage w/ Adam Levy of BBC

April 24, 2025 · 3:35 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Adam Levy of the BBC analyze the impact of tariffs, immigration and President Donald Trump’s economic agenda in local economies in key states including Ohio and Florida ahead of the midterm elections and discuss how U.S. election coverage has changed over the years and how…

Podcast Episode 44: Trump, Tariffs, Economy, Election w/ Laura Weiss of Punchbowl News

April 11, 2025 · 11:47 AM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Laura Weiss of Punchbowl News analyze how President Donald Trump’s tariffs and the uncertainty of the economy and stock market affect his relationship with Republicans on Capitol Hill and how it could threaten Republicans’ majority in the House and the Senate in next year’s midterm…

Four Districts that Could Feature Sleeper House Races

by Jacob Rubashkin April 3, 2025 · 2:28 PM EDT

What are the sleeper races? That’s one of the most common questions every election cycle, but there isn’t always a clear answer.

Identifying the most competitive races isn’t all that tough. Just look at seats with close races in the past or the districts that featured tens of millions of…

Podcast Episode 43: Potential Florida Upset , House Specials w/ Erin Covey of Cook Political Report

March 30, 2025 · 9:59 PM EDT

Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey of The Cook Political Report w/ Amy Walter talk through the potential for a Democratic upset in the special election for Florida's 6th District, as well as what we'll learn from the outcome there and in Florida's 1st District. The episode also touches on upcoming…

Florida Special Elections Come Into Focus

by Jacob Rubashkin March 28, 2025 · 10:54 AM EDT

A special election in Central Florida to fill National Security Advisor Michael Waltz’s congressional seat is attracting a crush of national spending and attention in its final week.

Republicans remain favored to hold Florida’s 6th Congressional District, albeit by a narrower margin than the district’s underlying partisanship would suggest. Elsewhere…

Colorado 8: Centennial State Showdown

by Jacob Rubashkin March 20, 2025 · 2:30 PM EDT

Colorado’s 8th District is one of America’s newest House seats but it has already established itself as one of the most competitive. Just one of two districts where the winning candidate’s margin of victory was less than 1 percent in both 2022 and 2024, the 8th is a crucial step…

Iowa 1: Third Time’s a Charm?

by Jacob Rubashkin March 20, 2025 · 2:29 PM EDT

In their quest to flip three seats and reclaim the House majority, Democrats are primarily focused on GOP incumbents in seats where Kamala Harris finished ahead of Donald Trump and seats where Trump won narrowly.

But one of the party’s top targets is neither of those things. Iowa’s 1st District…