Redistricting News & Analysis

It’s Beginning to Look a Lot Like … a Traditional Midterm Election

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 4, 2025 · 8:00 AM EST

The special election result in Tennessee’s 7th District is just the latest piece of evidence that, in spite of President Donald Trump’s reputation as a political savant, 2026 is beginning to look a lot like a traditional midterm. 

There's a perception that normal rules don't apply to Trump, who…

Podcast Episode 60: What Should Republicans, Democrats be Thankful For? w/ Kirk Bado of NJ’s Hotline

November 26, 2025 · 3:08 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Kirk Bado of National Journal’s Hotline celebrate Thanksgiving by prescribing what Republicans, Democrats and even President Donald Trump should be thankful for in this holiday season. Jacob and Kirk also discuss good and bad recent movies while Nathan is thankful for the Seattle Seahawks star…

Federal Court Strikes Down New Texas Map

by Jacob Rubashkin November 20, 2025 · 2:29 PM EST

A three-judge panel in El Paso ordered Texas to return to its old congressional map for the 2026 midterm elections, rather than implement a new map the GOP-run legislature passed earlier this year in an attempt to pick up as many as five seats.

Under intense pressure from the White…

Podcast Episode 59: 2025 Election Results + Shutdown Politics w/ Leah Askarinam of the AP

November 12, 2025 · 8:30 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press discuss their key takeaways from the recent elections in Virginia, New Jersey, California and New York City and talk about how the recent Senate vote to end the government shutdown could impact the 2026 midterm elections. Nathan also gives…

Podcast Episode 58: New California Map Shakes Up Redistricting War w/ Mel Mason of Politico

October 30, 2025 · 10:26 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Melanie Mason of Politico analyze the fate of Proposition 50 in California as Gov. Gavin Newsom and Democrats try to counter President Donald Trump and Republicans’ efforts to redistrict in GOP states nationwide. The crew also walks through more than half a dozen individual seats…

Podcast Episode 57: Can Anyone Defeat Susan Collins? w/ Alex Seitz-Wald of Midcoast Villager

October 16, 2025 · 2:56 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Alex Seitz-Wald of The Midcoast Villager take a deep dive into Maine with a focus on the Democratic Senate primary between Gov. Janet Mills and oysterman Graham Platner before taking on Republican Susan Collins, a look at the 2nd District battle between Democratic Rep. Jared…

Podcast Episode 56: Midterms, NFL, Kentucky Derby w/ Steve Kornacki of NBC News

October 1, 2025 · 7:20 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Steve Kornacki of NBC News take a fresh look at the battle for the House majority with a little more than a year before the midterm elections, analyze the latest numbers in the race for governor in New Jersey this year and talk about how…

A Detailed Analysis of Missouri’s New Congressional Map

by Nathaniel Rakich September 29, 2025 · 9:41 AM EDT

The unprecedented redistricting arms race of 2025 continues apace. After Texas Republicans redrew their state’s congressional map with the goal of flipping from three to five House seats, California Democrats voted to place their own new congressional map before voters this November that would…

Podcast Episode 55: Two Biggest Races of 2025 w/ Abby Turner of National Journal’s Hotline

September 18, 2025 · 2:45 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Abby Turner of National Journal’s Hotline analyze the key messages and strategies ahead of the two biggest races of 2025 (the New Jersey and Virginia races for governor) as Republicans try to keep up their momentum from 2024 and Democrats try to get a bump…

Podcast Episode 54: Big Texas Senate Primary + Redistricting w/ Gabby Birenbaum of Texas Tribune

September 9, 2025 · 11:09 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Gabby Birenbaum of The Texas Tribune break down the critical Republican primary in the Texas Senate race between Sen. John Cornyn and state Attorney General Ken Paxton and analyze the five individual House seats most affected by Republicans’ mid-decade redistricting effort encouraged by President Donald…