House News & Analysis

2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): Alaska - Iowa

June 5, 2025 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alaska.
At-Large, Nick Begich, R, elected 51%. Trump 55%.
It looks increasingly like former Rep. Mary Peltola will run for governor rather than for her old seat, so Democrats are searching for a challenger. Potential candidates include former Lt. Gov. Valerie Davidson, now the president of the Alaska Native…

2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): Kentucky - New York

June 5, 2025 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kentucky.
6th District (Greater Lexington area) Open; Andy Barr, R, running for Senate. Trump 57%.
With Barr running for Senate, there are potentially competitive primaries brewing on both sides of the aisle. State Rep. Ryan Dotson is already in the GOP primary but could be joined by state Sen.…

2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): North Carolina - Wisconsin

June 5, 2025 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina.
1st District (Inland northeastern North Carolina) Don Davis, D, re-elected 49.5%. Trump 51%.
Rocky Mount Mayor Sandy Roberson is running after narrowly losing the 2022 GOP primary. He is personally wealthy and self-funded with $1 million that year. There’s always a danger for Republicans that Sandy Smith,…

Podcast Episode 47: New Jersey Governor Elections w/ Madison Fernandez of Politico

May 23, 2025 · 12:23 AM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Madison Fernandez of Politico analyze the upcoming race for governor in New Jersey including the Democratic and Republican primaries and the general election, which will get even more national attention this fall as one of the first opportunities for Democrats to find their way out…

Pennsylvania 7: Long Road Ahead in the Lehigh Valley

by Jacob Rubashkin May 15, 2025 · 2:30 PM EDT

With Republicans clinging to a narrow House majority, Pennsylvania’s 7th District is on the frontline of the GOP’s battle to maintain control. A perpetual bellwether held by a freshman Republican, the 7th is close to a must-win for Democrats next year.

But the diverse district presents hurdles that mirror the…

Arizona 7 Special: The Tussle in Tucson

by Jacob Rubashkin May 15, 2025 · 2:29 PM EDT

When Raúl Grijalva died on March 13 after a battle with lung cancer, he left his sprawling southern Arizona congressional district vacant, and Democrats down a crucial vote in the House of Representatives.

The seat will be filled via a special election, but Arizona law slows the process down considerably,…

Report Shorts (May 15, 2025)

May 15, 2025 · 2:28 PM EDT

Colorado’s 4th District. Navy Rear Admiral Eileen Laubacher filed to run against GOP Rep. Lauren Boebert. Laubacher, who also served on Biden’s White House National Security Council, has a difficult road in a district Trump carried by 18 points in 2024. But Boebert typically underperforms, so the race is worth…

Podcast Episode 46: What’s up with Redistricting? w/ David Wasserman of The Cook Political Report

May 7, 2025 · 11:52 AM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and David Wasserman of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter analyze the handful of states where redistricting and new congressional maps could affect the fight for the House majority and take a broader look at how redistricting impacts our elections and the partisan mood of…

Wisconsin 3: Drifting Red or Drifting Blue?

by Jacob Rubashkin May 1, 2025 · 2:29 PM EDT

Wisconsin is often described as the capital of the political world. But the Badger State is home to just one competitive congressional seat, western Wisconsin’s 3rd District.

The 3rd, currently represented by Republican Derrick Van Orden, has an Inside Elections Baseline score of just R+1.3, making it one of the…

Report Shorts (May 1, 2025)

May 1, 2025 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona’s 5th District. Former Cardinals, Bears and Giants kicker Jay Feely announced his campaign for the open seat being left behind by GOP Rep. Andy Biggs, who is running for governor. President Donald Trump finished ahead of Kamala Harris by nearly 20 points in a seat that includes Gilbert and…