Arizona’s 7th District. Democrat Adelita Grijalva won the special general election on Tuesday, 69-30 percent over Republican Daniel Butierez, in the race to replace her late father. Even with some votes still being counted, the result is yet another overperformance for Democrats in special elections considering Kamala Harris received 60…
Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Abby Turner of National Journal’s Hotline analyze the key messages and strategies ahead of the two biggest races of 2025 (the New Jersey and Virginia races for governor) as Republicans try to keep up their momentum from 2024 and Democrats try to get a bump…
By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales
Approaching halfway through the cycle, the fight for the House majority remains the marquee event of the midterms. While the Senate usually gets more of the attention, the size of the GOP majority and slate of states on the ballot has made that…
Alabama. Filing deadline Jan. 23. Primary May 19. Runoff (if necessary) June 16.
1st District (Southern Alabama) Open; Barry Moore, R, running for Senate. Trump 77%. Former Rep. Jerry Carl is seeking his old seat back after losing to Moore in a member vs. member primary last year. The…
Kentucky. Filing deadline Jan. 9. Primary May 19.
6th District (Greater Lexington area) Open; Andy Barr, R, running for Senate. Trump 57%. Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado, state Rep. Ryan Dotson, and state Rep. Deanna Frazier Gordon make up the GOP primary field. On the Democratic side, former state…
North Carolina. Filing deadline Dec. 19. Primary March 3. Runoff (if necessary) May 12.
1st District (Inland northeastern North Carolina) Don Davis, D, re-elected 49.5%. Trump 51%. National Republican strategists like Rocky Mount Mayor Sandy Roberson, who narrowly lost the 2022 GOP primary. He’s personally wealthy and has already…
Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Gabby Birenbaum of The Texas Tribune break down the critical Republican primary in the Texas Senate race between Sen. John Cornyn and state Attorney General Ken Paxton and analyze the five individual House seats most affected by Republicans’ mid-decade redistricting effort encouraged by President Donald…
Connecticut’s 1st District. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest filed to run, but it’s not clear whether she’s planning to challenge long-time Rep. John Larson in the Democratic primary or expects there to be an open seat. Roll Call’s Daniela Altimari pointed out that Gilchrest took on the West Hartford Democratic machine…
Inside Elections' Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin along with Kyle Kondik of Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia dive into the Ohio Senate race where former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown is challenging Republican Sen. Jon Husted, who was appointed to replace Vice President J.D. Vance, in a…
If you thought the midterm elections wouldn’t start until 2026, think again. Control of multiple House seats will now effectively be decided this fall.
The California Legislature is soon expected to advance a new congressional map for the Golden State that is heavily biased in Democrats’ favor. It’s the party’s…
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