House News & Analysis

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky - New York

March 12, 2026 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kentucky. Primary May 19.
4th District (Cincinnati suburbs and northern Kentucky border area) Thomas Massie, R, re-elected unopposed. Trump 67%.
Trump is determined to oust Massie in the GOP primary and is supporting former Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein. Trump rallied with Gallrein in the district on Wednesday and his…

House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina - Wisconsin

March 12, 2026 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina.
1st District (Inland northeastern North Carolina) Don Davis, D. Trump 55%.
It’s a rematch between Davis and retired Army Col. Laurie Buckhout, who lost narrowly to the congressman in 2024. Buckhout beat out Carteret County Sheriff Asa Buck and state Rep. Bobby Hanig in a primary that…

Texas, North Carolina Kick off 2026 Primaries

March 4, 2026 · 10:10 AM EST

By Jacob Rubashkin and Nathan L. Gonzales

Voters in Texas, North Carolina and Arkansas officially kicked off the 2026 election cycle with a large and exciting slate of important primaries. The matchup is officially set in one of the marquee Senate races in the country (North Carolina) and a vulnerable…

Podcast Episode 66: The Land of Illinois Primaries w/ Shia Kapos of Politico

February 27, 2026 · 2:05 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Shia Kapos of Politico's Illinois Playbook dive deep into the upcoming Illinois primaries including the Democratic race to succeed Sen. Dick Durbin and a handful of crowded and competitive House primaries, where as little as 20 percent of the vote could be enough to effectively…

First-Time Candidates Enter the Ring in Key House Race

by Jacob Rubashkin February 19, 2026 · 2:30 PM EST

BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP, MI — By the time the main event began, the packed high school gym was almost too hazy to see the fighters in the ring. But for the hundreds of men and handful of women at Brother Rice High School, the boxing at Boxing Night was a secondary…

Texas: Republicans, Democrats Face Critical Early Primaries

February 19, 2026 · 2:29 PM EST

By Patrick Svitek

The Texas primary feels bigger than ever. While the November elections are still eight months away, more than a dozen consequential primaries in the Lone Star State are rapidly approaching.

At the top of the ticket, a longtime Senate incumbent, Republican John Cornyn, is struggling to win…

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026 · 2:28 PM EST

Arizona Governor. Karrin Taylor Robson suspended her campaign leaving two Republican congressmen, Andy Biggs and David Schweikert, to battle for the GOP nomination. Biggs is regarded as the frontrunner with President Donald Trump’s support. But Schweikert is making the case that his experience in competitive general elections is valuable in…

Podcast Episode 65: Even Primaries are Big in Texas w/ Gabby Birenbaum of Texas Tribune

February 12, 2026 · 1:49 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Gabby Birenbaum of The Texas Tribune run down the biggest primaries in Texas including the Republican and Democratic Senate primaries and run through the Republican and Democratic House incumbents who might not even get renominated. Also, Jacob can’t stop watching reality TV, Gabby plugs the…

House: Money Isn’t Enough to Save Incumbents in Wave Elections

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 11, 2026 · 10:46 AM EST

Fundraising is a critical part of winning reelection, but sometimes incumbents have political problems that money can’t fix. 

When voter sentiment is against you, outspending your opponent isn’t sufficient to survive an electoral wave. This is important context when analyzing campaign fundraising reports.

While there can be confusion over what…

Pennsylvania 8: Paiging the Incumbent

by Jacob Rubashkin February 5, 2026 · 2:29 PM EST

When Pennsylvania Democrat Matt Cartwright finally lost in 2024, some in his party began to write off his Northeast Pennsylvania district as gone for good. For a decade, Cartwright had defied gravity: a University of Pennsylvania and London School of Economics-educated lawyer and member of the Congressional Progressive Caucus who…