House News & Analysis
2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 57%). Trump 53%. Former state personnel director/former state Rep. Linda Coleman won the Democratic nomination over tech entrepreneur Ken Romley and will face the incumbent Republican in the general election. The race has been included in the broadest discussion of competitive seats, but Coleman’s…
It’s dangerous to extrapolate too much from any single special election, but the trend is clear across nearly all of the special elections over the past year: Democrats are over-performing and Republicans are struggling to hold open seats.
Democrats’ over-performance hasn’t been limited by geography, considering Democrats have done better…
New Mexico’s 1st District — Rating: Solid Democratic
Interview Date: April 17, 2018
Date of Birth: Dec. 2, 1960; Winslow, Ariz.
Education: Univ. of New Mexico (1994, law school 2006)
Elected Office: None; 2014 nominee for lieutenant governor
Current Outlook: Haaland is a top contender for Michelle Lujan Grisham’s Albuquerque-based…
Nevada’s 4th District — Rating: Likely Democratic
Interview Date: March 13, 2018
Date of Birth: June 23, 1957; Mesquite, Nev.
Education: Dixie State Univ.
Elected Office: U.S. House (former, 2011-12); state Assembly (former); Mesquite city council (former)
Current Outlook: Even though Hardy is a former Member of Congress, he’s an…
Minnesota’s 3rd District — Rating: Lean Republican
Interview Date: April 27, 2018
Date of Birth: Jan. 20, 1969; St. Paul, Minn.
Education: Brown Univ. (1991); Univ. of Minnesota business school (2000)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Rep. Erik Paulsen is one of the most vulnerable Republicans…
Nevada’s 3rd District — Rating: Tilt Democratic
Interview Date: March 15, 2018
Date of Birth: Nov. 7, 1966; Canton, Ohio
Education: Carnegie Mellon Univ. (1989 undergrad, 1990 Master’s)
Elected Office: None; 4th District candidate (2016)
Current Outlook: In 2016, Lee finished third in the Democratic primary in the 4th District,…
Florida’s 26th District — Rating: Tilt Republican
Interview Date: March 14, 2018
Date of Birth: Jan. 18, 1971; Ecuador
Education: Pitzer College (1992), Claremont McKenna Graduate University (1996)
Elected Office: None; 2016 nominee for state senate
Current Outlook: Mucarsel-Powell lost a state senate election and now she’s taking on one…
Washington’s 5th District —Rating: Likely R
Interview Date: March 15, 2018
Date of Birth: Oct. 19. 1956; Robinson, Ill.
Education: Univ. of Illinois (1974); Univ. of Colorado (master’s 1986)
Elected Office: State Senate (former, 1996-2012)
Current Outlook: President Donald Trump carried this eastern Washington district with 52 percent in 2016,…
Florida 17th District — Rating: Solid Republican
Interview Date: March 27, 2018
Date of Birth: May 19, 1978; Bradenton, Florida
Education: Univ. of Florida (2000, law school 2003)
Elected Office: State Senate (2016); State House (former, 2010-16)
Current Outlook: Republicans are looking for a replacement for Rep. Tom Rooney, who…
New Jersey’s 2nd District — Rating: Tilt Democratic
Interview Date: March 15, 2018
Date of Birth: Feb. 23, 1953; New York, N.Y.
Education: Rutgers (1975); Fairleigh Dickinson Dental School (1979)
Elected Office: State Senate; State Assembly (former); Cape May County Freeholder (former); Dennis Township Mayor (former)
Current Outlook: The combination…