Ohio’s 1st District — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: May 9, 2018
Date of Birth: Sept. 9, 1982; Beaver Creek, Ohio
Education: Ohio State Univ. (2005); Univ. of Cincinnati law school (2008)
Elected Office: Hamilton County Clerk of Courts (2016)
Current Outlook: Democrats believe Hamilton County Clerk of Courts Pureval…
New Jersey’s 7th District — Rating: Tilt Republican
Interview Date: May 9, 2018
Date of Birth: Sept. 23,1965; Poland
Education: UC-Berkeley (1988); Oxford Univ. (Rhodes Scholar, Master’s 1991)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: GOP Rep. Leonard Lance ($850,000 in the bank on March 31) is a…
I don’t trust anyone who tells me they already know the makeup of the midterm electorate. We can’t possibly know who will vote in the fall, let alone how they will cast their ballots.
If I were going to focus on a handful of variables to understand how the cycle…
Nancy Pelosi is a drug that Republicans just can’t quit, and the GOP hopes that the threat of her becoming speaker of the House again will awaken any potentially apathetic base voters. While that might work for Republicans for yet another cycle, it might be the last cycle with their…
Governor. Greg Abbott (R) elected 2014 (59%). Former Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez won the Democratic runoff over Andrew White, son of former Democratic Gov. Mark White (1983-1987). Valdez will face the governor, who won renomination easily with 90 percent in the March 6 primary. If Democrats are going to…
Governor. Open; Nathan Deal (R) term-limited. Democrats believed that demographics were shifting Georgia into their column right up until Donald Trump won it 51-46 percent in 2016. Now Democrats are hoping a midterm backlash against the president will give them their first gubernatorial victory in 20 years. House Minority Leader…
Governor. Asa Hutchinson (R), elected 2014 (55%). The governor defeated FOX News contributor/indoor shooting range owner Jan Morgan in the Republican primary. Hutchinson will face former NASA scientist and nonprofit executive Jared Henderson in the general election in a state President Donald Trump won by 27 points in 2016. Rating:…
6th District (Andy Barr, R, re-elected 61%). Trump 55%. Retired Marine Lt. Col. Amy McGrath, who went viral among Democrats nationwide with her introductory video last year and raised more than $2 million through May 2, won the Democratic primary over Lexington Mayor Jim Gray. Gray defeated GOP Sen.…
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has reserved more than $12.6 million in broadcast television ad time for the last month of the fall campaigns, according to a source familiar with the committee’s independent expenditure buy.
More ad reservations are certainly to come, considering the DCCC spent more than $66 million…
Last week’s primary results gave progressives a shot of hope in regaining some momentum in the Democratic civil war. In Nebraska’s 2nd District, an advocate for Medicare for All defeated a former congressman running as a moderate in a district that President Donald Trump narrowly carried in 2016. But a…
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