House News & Analysis
Arizona’s 8th District Special (a): The House majority was in play before the special election and it’s in play after the special election (and more thoughts in the aftermath of the race).
Arizona’s 8th District Special (b): Two months ago, we changed our rating from Solid Republican to…
By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam
The Associated Press declared Republican Debbie Lesko the winner in Arizona’s 8th District special election.
It’s late. Let’s do this with bullet points.
New national polls show voters are more upbeat about President Donald Trump’s performance and more pessimistic about the Democrats’ chances of taking back the House. Or not.
An April 8-11 Washington Post-ABC News poll showed Trump’s job approval rating at 40 percent, while 56 percent disapproved of his performance.
An…
Democrat Randy Bryce garnered national support to oust Speaker Paul Ryan from Congress, with a viral video and nickname (“Ironstache”). But now that Ryan’s decided against seeking re-election, Democrats still have a tough road ahead. President Donald Trump carried the district by 10 points in 2016 and Republicans have won…
New Mexico’s 2nd District — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: March 14, 2018
Date of Birth: Nov. 15, 1984; Portland, Ore.
Education: Georgetown (2007), Univ. of New Mexico Law School (2015)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: GOP Rep. Steve Pearce’s run for governor means there’s an…
Florida’s 22nd District — Rating: Solid D
Interview Date: April 11, 2018
Date of Birth: Dec. 12, 1972; Flushing, NY
Education: Broward College (attended)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: It’s hard to imagine Republicans winning a district that Hillary Clinton carried by 16 points in a…
Washington’s 8th District — Rating: Toss-up
Interview Date: April 10, 2018
Date of Birth: Aug. 23, 1968; Los Angeles, Calif.
Education: Univ. of California, Berkeley (1991), UC-Davis School of Medicine (1997)
Elected Office: None; first run for office
Current Outlook: Pediatrician Kim Schrier announced her challenge to GOP Rep. Dave…
By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam
Arkansas’ 2nd District: Congratulations to Democrat Clarke Tucker’s campaign for using the term “robocalls” in a press release even though the local media referred to them as a “push poll,” which it most likely wasn’t since push polls don’t exist.
Colorado…
I have long argued that on the most fundamental level, all elections are choices between continuity and change.
The “in” party needs voters to believe that things are going well — or at least improving — while the “out” party needs to sell its message of change.
On rare occasions,…
by Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam
Arizona’s 8th District Special (a): Welcome to the big leagues, Democrat Hiral Tipirneni, who we’re learning hasn’t treated patients since 2011 and settled a malpractice lawsuit.
Arizona’s 8th District Special (b): Nathan told The Arizona Republic that “under normal conditions you…