Archive

New Mexico 1 Special: Tale of Two Races

by Jacob Rubashkin May 21, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

After a net loss of 11 seats in 2020, House Democrats left themselves very little room for error in 2022. And with such a narrow majority, Democrats have to win special elections to maintain control of their own seats even before the midterm elections in order to maintain a working majority on the…

Ohio Senate: Grand Re-Opening

by Jacob Rubashkin May 21, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

GOP Sen. Rob Portman’s surprise decision not to seek a third term in Ohio in 2022 has set off a raucous primary among Republicans, and finally pushed a long-hesitant Democrat into his first statewide race.

The Buckeye State has drifted rightward over the past decade — Democrats have won just one…

Special Elections in Redistricting Cycles: To Play or Not to Play?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 21, 2021 · 9:00 AM EDT

Democrats aren’t lamenting getting locked out of the special election runoff earlier this month in a Texas district they targeted previously.

But did the party miss an opportunity to bounce back from a surprising 11-seat loss in the 2020 elections? Looking back a decade ago at the special…

Republicans Should Disband If They Don’t Win Back the House in 2022

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 18, 2021 · 9:00 AM EDT

Failure, disappointment and embarrassment. Those three feelings should come to mind for Republicans if they don’t win the House majority in 2022. 

Democrats have their narrowest majority in more than a generation, and Republicans have redistricting and history on their side in the midterm…

2022 House Overview: State-by-State Redistricting Analysis (May 7, 2021)

May 7, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin

Six months into the 2022 midterm elections, and we still don’t know the congressional lines that will define and determine the fight for the House majority. And considering Republicans need a net gain of just five seats, literally every seat matters.

The…

2022 House Overview: State-by-State Redistricting (Alabama - Iowa)

May 7, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Current breakdown: 6R, 1D. According to pre-apportionment announcement estimates, the Yellowhammer State was at significant risk of losing a congressional seat, but Alabama will retain its 7-member delegation. No partisan changes are expected, just a competitive Republican primary to…

2022 House Overview: State-by-State Redistricting (Kansas - New York)

May 7, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kansas. Current breakdown: 3R, 1D. The state legislature draws Kansas’ congressional map, which is subject to gubernatorial veto. Republicans hold veto-proof majorities in both chambers, though in the state Senate the party can only afford two defections and is not always able to override…

2022 House Overview: State-by-State Redistricting (North Carolina - Wyoming)

May 7, 2021 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. Current breakdown: 8R, 5D (Apportionment: +1 seat). The Tar Heel State gained a seat and Republicans control the process in one of the four most important states for redistricting. Democrats believe the new seat should include the Research Triangle- at the nexus of North Carolina…

Report Shorts (May 7, 2021)

May 7, 2021 · 2:26 PM EDT

California Governor Recall
The race to recall Gov. Gavin Newsom is (nearly) official, after organizers turned in significantly more validated signatures than necessary to put the Democrat on the ballot this fall. While there are still some procedural hoops left to jump through, the recall — just…