Archive

When We’ll Know How Much Trump’s Support is Worth

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 16, 2021 · 9:05 AM EDT

Early 2022 Senate primaries will be a good test of whether Donald Trump’s strength within the Republican Party endures into the midterm elections.

Up to this point, the former president’s grip on the GOP via his popularity with base voters shows little sign of waning. Eighty-four percent of…

2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): Defining the Battlefield

July 1, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

More than a year before the midterms, the narrow Senate battlefield continues to solidify as the candidate fields in key states become more clear. Yet there’s still one key ingredient missing in the fight for the majority: the national political environment.…

2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): Alabama - Georgia

July 1, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Open; Richard Shelby, R, not seeking re-election. Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 24 primary. Rep. Mo Brooks, the conservative firebrand and Jan. 6 Stop The Steal rally speaker, secured an early endorsement from former President Trump in the race to succeed the retiring Shelby. He also has…

2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): Hawaii - North Carolina

July 1, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

Hawaii. Brian Schatz (D) appointed 2012, elected 2014 (70%), 2016 (74%). June 7 filing deadline. Aug. 13 primary. Hawaii was one of just seven states where Trump actually improved on his 2016 performance in the 2020 election, but that doesn’t mean Republicans are going to be seriously competing in…

2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): North Dakota - Wisconsin

July 1, 2021 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Dakota. John Hoeven (R) elected 2010 (76%), 2016 (78%). April 11 filing deadline. June 14 primary. Hoeven had $2.1 million in the bank on March 31, Trump won the state by 34 points in November, and the senator appears to still be on the good side of the former president. That looks like a…

These Four States Could Decide Control of Congress in 2022

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 28, 2021 · 4:46 PM EDT

Sixteen months before Election Day, new House district lines haven’t even been drawn, and yet the fight for Congress is likely to hinge on the outcomes in four critical states.

On a basic level, every state matters in the Senate, considering Republicans need to gain just a single seat to get to…

Virginia Governor: Old Dominion, New Election

by Jacob Rubashkin June 18, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

It has been a quiet year for elections so far, with a handful of special congressional races producing status quo outcomes that barely registered in the political consciousness.

But that quiet could be coming to a close as Virginia gears up for November, when it will host the most expensive…

Ohio 15 Special: Clash Near Columbus

by Jacob Rubashkin June 18, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

When GOP Rep. Steve Stivers announced he would quit Congress just a few months into his sixth term to take a job as the head of the Ohio Chamber of Commerce, he reduced House Republicans’ ranks by one, and created a vacancy in his Columbus-area congressional seat that will be filled via a special…

Gubernatorial Updates (June 18, 2021)

June 18, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

ARIZONA. Open; Doug Ducey (R), term-limited. Secretary of State Katie Hobbs, the highest ranking elected Democrat in the state, is running to succeed Ducey in what will be one of 2022’s most competitive gubernatorial contests. Hobbs, who saw her national profile grow in the wake of the state GOP’s…