Archive
On Wednesday, the Supreme Court struck down Louisiana’s congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, in a decision that could have far-reaching implications for a dozen or more Democratic-held districts across the South and around the country. The immediate effects of the decision…
The redistricting war continues with Florida. The potentially new congressional map drawn and proposed by Republicans could help the party gain as many as four additional seats. But those gains could be difficult in the current political environment that favors Democrats. We'll change appropriate…
Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Henry J. Gomez of NBC News break down all of the upcoming primaries in Ohio. The trio also analyzes whether incumbent Democrats Marcy Kaptur, Greg Landsman and Emilia Sykes or Republicans representatives Max Miller and Mike Turner will be returning to Congress,…
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
Just a few months ago, Republican strategists expressed optimism about their party’s midterm fortunes. Despite President Donald Trump's mediocre job approval rating, gas prices were falling, the stock market was surging and tax refunds were imminent.…
Alabama. Open; Tommy Tuberville (R) running for governor. Primary May 19. Runoff (if necessary) June 16. State Attorney General Steve Marshall led in GOP primary polling all of last year and early in 2026 but Rep. Barry Moore has powered ahead of him in recent weeks. That’s all thanks to an…
Kentucky. Open; Mitch McConnell (R), not seeking re-election. Primary May 19. Rep. Andy Barr appears to be gaining ground in the GOP primary as spending has picked up over the past two months. Barr has a friendly super PAC and millions of dollars saved up in his campaign account, and one Kentucky…
North Carolina. Open; Thom Tillis (R) not seeking re-election. The race is set between Democratic former Gov. Roy Cooper and Republican Michael Whatley, a former chairman of the Republican National Committee and state GOP. Cooper starts with a polling advantage over Whatley, who has never run for…
Back-to-back special elections in Georgia and New Jersey are the latest signs that Democrats are favored to take back the House — with the party's net gains potentially extending far beyond the three seats they need for a majority.
The two recently filled congressional seats, Georgia’s 14th and…
California’s 14th District. Over the course of just a few days, Democratic congressman Eric Swalwell went from potential governor of California to dropping out and resigning his seat in disgrace and scandal. Democrats are still trying to avoid getting locked out of the June 2 primary for governor…