Inside Elections

2022 Senate Ratings (June 18, 2021)

June 18, 2021 · 2:26 PM EDT

2022 House Ratings (June 18, 2021)

June 18, 2021 · 2:25 PM EDT

While You Were Underground: A Political Update for Cicadas

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 17, 2021 · 9:26 AM EDT

After living underground for 17 years, cicadas must find the political world a confusing place. So if you see any perplexed cicadas flying around the Washington area, wondering how things changed since the spring of 2004, just send them a link to this quick update. 

Considering Republicans were in…

Decline in Ticket-splitting Reaches Beyond Congress

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 15, 2021 · 12:14 PM EDT

While many voters like to think of themselves as independent-minded folks who consider the person before the party, the 2020 election results paint a different picture. Ticket-splitting is on life support.

The scarcity of mismatched seats at the federal level is well documented. Less than 4…

Florida Senate: Not Swing, But Still Battleground

June 4, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

After cycles of GOP success, Florida has shed its swing state status. But the Sunshine State is still competitive and should still be considered a battleground, particularly when the majority in the Senate hinges on a single seat.  

Six years ago, Marco…

Biden’s Job Rating and the 2022 Midterm Elections

by Ryan Matsumoto June 4, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Joe Biden has only been president for a few months, but pundits and prognosticators alike are already looking at what the tea leaves may suggest about the 2022 midterm elections. Democrats currently maintain the slimmest of majorities; House Republicans need to gain just five seats to flip the…

New Mexico 1 Special: Status Quo Results

June 4, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

Democrat Melanie Stansbury prevailed in Tuesday’s special election, keeping New Mexico’s 1st District in Democratic hands after Rep. Deb Haaland joined the Biden Administration as Interior Secretary. 

Considering Joe Biden’s big victory over President Donald Trump in the Albuquerque-anchored…

Candidate Conversation: Gillian Battino (D)

June 4, 2021 · 2:27 PM EDT

Wisconsin Senate — Rating: Battleground

Interview Date: May 25, 2021 (Zoom)

Date of Birth: March 30, 1970; Athens, Ohio

Education: John Carroll Univ. (1992); The Ohio State College of Medicine (1996)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Battino starts as an underdog in…

House Report Shorts (June 4, 2021): Florida & Ohio

by Jacob Rubashkin June 4, 2021 · 2:26 PM EDT

Florida’s 10th District
With Democratic Rep. Val Demings preparing to run for the Senate, the field to succeed her has started to take shape. Former 9th judicial district state attorney Aramis Ayala, who made national headlines several years ago when she announced she would not seek the death…

Could Supreme Court Supercharge Midterms With Abortion Ruling?

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 3, 2021 · 8:58 AM EDT

If redistricting hadn’t complicated the midterm elections enough, a Supreme Court decision on one of the country’s most polarizing issues has the potential to supercharge the fight for the House and Senate.

Last month, the Supreme Court announced it would hear a challenge to a new Mississippi law…