Inside Elections

2016 House Ratings (March 25, 2016)

March 25, 2016 · 10:50 AM EDT

John Kasich’s Utterly Strange, Bizarre Campaign

by Stuart Rothenberg March 24, 2016 · 9:10 AM EDT

If you like John Kasich, it's time to celebrate! The Ohio governor finally won a primary – his home state’s. Of course, he flopped in last week's other contests, ending the evening with almost two dozen fewer delegates than Sen. Marco Rubio, who exited the GOP race.

Kasich’s campaign has bordered…

Millennials Raising Money to Run, But Can They Win?

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 18, 2016 · 3:21 PM EDT

Millennials have a reputation for being lazy, but a bipartisan crop of young congressional candidates is raising hundreds of thousands of dollars, which they’ll need, considering they are taking on the political establishment.

Considering the average age of a House member is 57, both parties could…

Outsider Candidate Claims Boehner Seat in Ohio Special

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 16, 2016 · 1:00 PM EDT

Anti-establishment conservatives couldn’t get one of their own elected Speaker of the House after John A. Boehner decided to call it quits, but they are on the cusp of taking over his western Ohio congressional district. 

That’s roughly the same lede from our deep-dive of the race, “Ohio 8: The…

Trump’s Electoral Math Doesn’t Add Up

by Stuart Rothenberg March 16, 2016 · 10:26 AM EDT

Republican front-runner Donald Trump is asked repeatedly about polls showing him trailing Hillary Clinton badly in the general election. He always says the same thing: other polls show him winning, and Clinton will be very easy to defeat.

Is Trump merely blowing smoke, or could he re-draw the…

Democratic Senate Takeover Probable, If Cruz or Trump Nominee

by Stuart Rothenberg March 11, 2016 · 9:01 AM EST

With Donald Trump and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz seemingly positioned to fight it out for the Republican presidential nomination, Democrats are now poised to take over the Senate in November.

The two Republicans still in the race who could help their party’s Senate prospects, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and…

6 Districts Where the Fight for the House and President Converge

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 7, 2016 · 9:10 AM EST

It’s going to be hard for most House races to get any attention this year, with a competitive presidential race and the fight for control of the Senate. But a handful of districts have the luxury of not only hosting a competitive House race, but also being swing areas of presidential battleground…

2016 Senate Overview: Trump Looms Over Fight for the Majority

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 4, 2016 · 3:00 PM EST

Twelve months ago, no one imagined billionaire Donald J. Trump would be in firm control of the Republican Party’s presidential nominating process. And the past year is peppered with handicapping mistakes as everyone tried to fit Trump into historical election molds. 

On the surface, Trump looks…

2016 Senate Overview (March 4, 2016) Alabama - Kansas

March 4, 2016 · 2:59 PM EST

ALABAMA – Richard Shelby (R) elected 1986 (50%), 1992 (65%), 1998 (63%), 2004 (68%), 2010 (65%). Shelby turned back a serious primary challenge from Jonathan McConnell on Tuesday, 65-28 percent. The senator’s allies were concerned that Donald Trump and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz would turn out a crowd of…

2016 Senate Overview (March 4, 2016) Kentucky - New Mexico

March 4, 2016 · 2:58 PM EST

KENTUCKY – Rand Paul (R) elected 2010 (56%). May 17 primary. Paul dropped his run for president after the Iowa caucuses and is finally focused on running for re-election. He shouldn’t have a problem, considering Kentucky’s serious Republican lean in federal elections. But his presidential run gives…