Archive

GOP Incumbents Brace for Primary Losses, But Survive So Far

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 25, 2016 · 11:00 AM EDT

As Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, and even Ben Carson harnessed the energy of anti-establishment voters in the Republican presidential race, GOP incumbents have grown worried they will be simultaneously swept out of office. But in spite of the volatility at the top of the ticket, Senate and House…

The Dust Clears: Hillary vs. Trump or Cruz

by Stuart Rothenberg March 25, 2016 · 10:59 AM EDT

The most bizarre presidential race in the history of the universe is starting to gel.

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton’s delegate lead looks solid enough, and she appears to be pivoting to the general election. Bernie Sanders will win more delegates and carry more states, but Clinton’s…

Is an Anti-Trump Wave Putting the House Into Play?

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 25, 2016 · 10:58 AM EDT

The closer Donald Trump or Ted Cruz gets to winning the Republican presidential nomination, the more Democrats talk about control of the House being in play. But even though the duo may deliver Democrats an electoral wave of historic proportions, it’s still not clear whether one will develop or…

Senate Matchups Start to Solidify, But Landscape Unclear

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 25, 2016 · 10:57 AM EDT

The playing field for competitive Senate races could still change and grow, particularly if the bottom falls out of the election for Republicans because of Donald Trump or Ted Cruz. But in three of the eight most competitive contests, the general election matchups are set after a series of early…

Few Surprises (and One Likely New Member) In Early House Primary Results

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 25, 2016 · 10:56 AM EDT

As the presidential race dominates the news coverage, some key House primaries set the stage for the general election or gave us a glimpse at some new Members of the next Congress who are close to securing safe, open seats. 

We wrote separately about House incumbents surviving primaries including…

Illinois 15: Shimkus Escapes Primary Challenge With Decisive Victory in Downstate District

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 25, 2016 · 10:55 AM EDT

With a nearly 20-year record in Congress and a mediocre rating with the Club for Growth, it’s not surprising that Illinois Republican John Shimkus drew a primary challenger in this political environment. But like the rest of his colleagues thus far in the cycle, the congressman prevailed. 

While…

Candidate Conversation: Geraldine Thompson (D)

March 25, 2016 · 10:54 AM EDT

Candidate for Florida’s 10th District

Interview Date: March 15, 2016

Date of Birth: Nov. 18, 1948; New Orleans, La. 

Education: Miami-Dade College (A.A. 1968); Miami Univ. (B.A. 1970); Florida State Univ. (Master’s 1973)

Political Office: State Senate; State House (former)

Current Outlook:

Candidate Conversation: Monica Vernon (D)

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 25, 2016 · 10:53 AM EDT

Candidate for Iowa’s 1st District

Interview Date: March 22, 2016

Date of Birth: Oct. 19, 1957; F.E. Warren Air Force Base, Cheyenne, Wyo. 

Education: Univ. of Iowa (B.A. 1980, MBA 1999); 

Political Office: Cedar Rapids City Council; 2014 1st District candidate

Current Outlook: Vernon is a top…

Candidate Conversation: Angie Craig (DFL)

March 25, 2016 · 10:52 AM EDT

Candidate for Minnesota’s 2nd District

Interview Date: March 22, 2016

Date of Birth: Feb. 14, 1972; West Helena, Ark. 

Education: Memphis State Univ. (B.A. 1994)

Political Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Craig is the presumptive DFL nominee in the competitive seat left open…

Candidate Conversation: Mark Hunt (D)

March 25, 2016 · 10:51 AM EDT

Candidate for West Virginia’s 2nd District

Interview Date: March 3, 2016

Date of Birth: Jan. 23, 1960 (Charleston, W.V.)

Education: Univ. of Charleston (B.A. 1982); Marshall Univ. (Master’s 1984); Univ. of District of Columbia (J.D. 1993)

Political Office: State Delegate (former)

Current…