Archive

Ratings Change: Wisconsin’s 8th District

April 11, 2016 · 2:55 PM EDT

Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson announced his candidacy, giving Democrats their preferred candidate to take over retiring GOP Rep. Reid Ribble’s open seat in Wisconsin’s 8th District. 

In our initial analysis of the race in the Feb. 5 issue of the Report, GOP sources admitted that Nelson…

Candidate Conversation: Conner Eldridge (D)

April 11, 2016 · 2:54 PM EDT

Nominee for Arkansas Senate

Interview Date: April 5, 2016

Date of Birth: Sept. 9, 1977; Fayetteville, Ark. 

Education: Davidson College (1999); Univ of Arkansas-Fayetteville (J.D. 2003)

Political Office: None. First run for office

Current Outlook: Eldridge is the Democratic nominee against GOP…

Candidate Conversation: Juan “Sonny” Palacios, Jr. (D)

April 11, 2016 · 2:53 PM EDT

Candidate for Texas’ 15th District

Interview Date: March 24, 2016

Date of Birth: Oct. 30, 1971; Edinburg, Texas

Education: Univ. of Texas-Pan American (B.A. 1996); Texas Southern Univ. (J.D. 2002)

Political Office: Edinburg School Board

Current Outlook: Palacios finished second in the March 1…

This 2014 House Race May Have Predicted Trump’s Success

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 10, 2016 · 8:30 AM EDT

Sixteen months ago, no one predicted Donald Trump would become the favorite for the Republican presidential nomination. But back in 2014, a seemingly random Illinois House race should have been an early indicator of an angry electorate that would be receptive to the billionaire businessman’s…

The Beginning of the End for Donald Trump

by Stuart Rothenberg April 7, 2016 · 9:10 AM EDT

For months, Donald Trump has led in polls, eventually piling up enough delegates to become a serious threat to win the Republican nomination in Cleveland in July. But now it appears that the wealthy businessman and reality television star’s candidacy is in jeopardy, the result of months of crude…

Maybe It Really Is the Media’s Fault

by Stuart Rothenberg April 5, 2016 · 9:22 AM EDT

Reporters like to snicker when members of the public — or even better, folks in the political class — blame the media for an unexpected development or unwelcome outcome. Don’t blame us, they respond, acting as if they are mere observers who have little or no responsibility for the political wars.

‘14 Losers Looking for Second Chance in ‘16

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 31, 2016 · 9:07 AM EDT

In sports and in politics, losing by a little can be harder than losing by a lot. At least a dozen 2016 candidates are hoping that their close calls in 2014 were more than a mirage of a missed opportunity.

California Republican Paul Chabot could barely get national GOP strategists to acknowledge…

A Party Divided Is a Party Defeated—Usually

by Stuart Rothenberg March 30, 2016 · 9:00 AM EDT

The question is no longer whether the GOP will be torn apart by the 2016 nominating process but how badly hurt its presidential nominee will be and whether defeat in November will be inevitable.

The answer depends on the nominee and on the ultimate extent of the divide. But there is little reason…

Rush Wins Primary, Other Black Caucus Members Also Face Challenges

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 27, 2016 · 9:00 AM EDT

Long-time Rep. Bobby L. Rush survived a primary challenge on March 15, and he’s just the first in a series of Congressional Black Caucus members facing an opponent from within the Democratic Party.

Rush won the Illinois primary 71-19 percent over Chicago Alderman Howard Brookins Jr. for the South…