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Rating Update: GOP Open Seat in Florida Remains Solid R for Now

April 11, 2018 · 3:11 PM EDT

You could be forgiven for overlooking the retirement of Rep. Dennis Ross today, given that the Florida Republican decided to announce his decision the same morning Speaker Paul Ryan announced his decision to not seek re-election.

Ross said he’d be returning to practicing law instead of seeking a…

Ratings Change: Ryan Exit Moves Wisconsin 1 from Solid R to Lean R

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 11, 2018 · 10:31 AM EDT

House Speaker Paul Ryan’s decision not to seek re-election shakes up the GOP leadership ladder in Washington and impacts his party’s ability to hold his seat back home in Wisconsin.

While Ryan’s decision is huge news because of his position, it’s not as electorally alarming to his party compared…

2018 House Ratings (April 11, 2018)

April 11, 2018 · 10:30 AM EDT

Rating Change: Florida Senate Shifts to Toss-up

April 9, 2018 · 11:15 AM EDT

Florida Gov. Rick Scott’s plans have been talked about for so long that it would have been shocking if he hadn’t announced his challenge to Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson today. Now that the Republican governor is officially in, the Sunshine State is poised to host an expensive race with national…

Nathan’s (Mostly) Political One-Liners: Fraudulent Signatures, Roseanne, and Kindness

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 9, 2018 · 8:45 AM EDT

Florida Senate (a): GOP Gov. Rick Scott may not win the race this year, but it will be an expensive slog for Democrats and Sen. Bill Nelson, despite the confidence American Bridge projected in a memo Wednesday

Florida Senate (b): Democrats attacking Scott for being a weak vote-getter in…

2018 Gubernatorial Overview: Democrats Rising

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 6, 2018 · 2:30 PM EDT

If you’re wondering about the relevance of gubernatorial elections to federal races, look no further than Pennsylvania.

Earlier this year, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court threw out the congressional map on the grounds that it was a partisan gerrymander. When the Republican-held Legislature drew a…

2018 Gubernatorial Overview (April 6, 2018) Alabama - Illinois

April 6, 2018 · 2:29 PM EDT

ALABAMA. Kay Ivey (R), assumed governorship April 2017. June 5 primary. Ivey, the first female governor of Alabama since the late 1960s, is running for a full term after succeeding embattled Gov. Robert Bentley. She faces Huntsville Mayor Tommy Battle, state Sen. Bill Hightower, and evangelist…

2018 Gubernatorial Overview (April 6, 2018) Iowa - New Mexico

April 6, 2018 · 2:28 PM EDT

IOWA. Kim Reynolds (R) ascended to office May 2017. June 5 primary. Reynolds, a former state senator and lieutenant governor, is running for a full term after taking office last year when Gov. Terry Branstad became President Trump’s ambassador to China. It looks like Cedar Rapids Mayor Ron Corbett,…

2018 Gubernatorial Overview (April 6, 2018) New York - Wyoming

April 6, 2018 · 2:27 PM EDT

NEW YORK. Andrew Cuomo (D) elected 2010 (63%), 2014 (54%). Actress Cynthia Nixon brought attention to an otherwise sleepy race with her primary challenge to Cuomo. There is some Democratic discontent with the governor but it will be at least a few weeks before it’s clear whether Nixon can get the…