Archive

Pennsylvania 6 Rating Change: Costello Decision Shifts Seat to Likely Democratic

March 24, 2018 · 11:23 PM EDT

If GOP Rep. Ryan Costello thought he could win, it sure seems like he would have run again. But despite having nearly $1.4 million in campaign funds on Dec. 31, the 41-year-old congressman is not seeking re-election in the newly-drawn 6th District of Pennsylvania. His withdrawal  takes a GOP seat…

2018 House Ratings (March 24, 2018)

March 24, 2018 · 11:22 PM EDT

Montana Senate: GOP Hopes to Strike Gold In The Treasure State

by Leah Askarinam March 23, 2018 · 2:30 PM EDT

We’re told it’s better to be lucky than good, but Democrat Jon Tester might be both. The Senator from Montana was elected and re-elected with less than a majority in two good Democratic cycles against flawed opponents. But he’s also cultivated a home-grown image that will make it difficult for…

Top of the Ticket Woes Could Lead to Downballot Debacle

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 23, 2018 · 2:29 PM EDT

It’s no secret that Republicans are headed for difficult midterm elections this fall, particularly in the House. It could be tough for GOP incumbents and candidates to generate enthusiasm among Donald Trump’s most loyal supporters when the President is not on the ballot. But the lack of competitive…

Illinois Primaries: Opportunities in the Land of Lincoln

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 23, 2018 · 2:28 PM EDT

Primaries can be a painful winnowing process for political parties, but they help set the stage for significant general election races in the fall. And unlike Texas, Illinois doesn’t have a runoff provision, so we know the general election match-ups in key contests that will help decide the House…

New York 25: Special Election Possible After Slaughter’s Death

March 23, 2018 · 2:27 PM EDT

Long-time Democratic Rep. Louise Slaughter died March 16, setting up a potential special election in New York’s 25th District. 

The Rochester-based district is rated Solid Democratic, considering Hillary Clinton carried it by 16 points in 2016, while President Barack Obama did so by 19 points in…

Candidate Conversation - Tim Kane (R)

March 23, 2018 · 2:26 PM EDT

Ohio’s 12th District Special Election - Rating: Likely Republican

Interview Date: Feb. 27, 2018

Date of Birth: April 28, 1968; Lansing, Mich. 

Education: Air Force Academy (1990); UC San Diego (PhD in economics, 2001)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Kane is a…

Candidate Conversation - Diane Harkey (R)

March 23, 2018 · 2:25 PM EDT

Candidate for California’s 49th District - Rating: Toss-up

Interview Date: Feb. 7, 2018

Date of Birth: June 20, 1951; Billiot, Ill. 

Education: Univ. of California-Irvine (1992)

Elected Office: State Board of Equalization, 4th District (2014-present); State Assembly (former 2008-14) 

Current…

Candidate Conversation - Russ Fulcher (R)

March 23, 2018 · 2:24 PM EDT

Idaho’s 1st - Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: Feb. 27, 2018

Date of Birth: March 9, 1962; Meridian, Idaho 

Education: Boise State Univ. (Bachelor’s 1984, MBA 1988)

Elected Office: Iowa State Senate (first elected 2005)

Current Outlook: Fulcher switched from the gubernatorial race to…

Candidate Conversation - Zach Scott (D)

March 23, 2018 · 2:23 PM EDT

Ohio’s 12th District Special Election - Rating: Likely Republican

Interview Date: March 5, 2018

Date of Birth: March 10, 1959; Louisa, Ky.

Education: Franklin Univ. (2000)

Elected Office: Franklin County Sheriff (appointed 2011, elected 2012)

Current Outlook: Scott is a credible contender for…