Archive

What Makes a Race Competitive?

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 16, 2020 · 2:46 PM EST

What defines a competitive race and who deems it so? 

In the final months of the campaign, Oregon’s 4th District was home to one of hottest races in the country. Republicans and Democrats poured millions of dollars into the contest between Democratic Rep. Peter DeFazio and Republican Alek…

Georgia Senate Runoffs: Beagles and Stock Trades and Police, Oh My!

by Jacob Rubashkin December 3, 2020 · 2:30 PM EST

The outcome of Georgia’s two Senate runoffs on January 5 will determine which party controls the U.S. Senate, and whether President-elect Joe Biden has any chance of enacting the kind of legislative agenda Democrats have long envisioned.

With such high stakes, neither party is sparing any expense…

Louisiana 2 Special: Brawl on the Blue Bayou

by Jacob Rubashkin December 3, 2020 · 2:29 PM EST

Read an update on the special election in Louisiana's 2nd District here.
 

President-elect Joe Biden’s decision to bring Democratic Rep. Cedric Richmond with him to the White House as a senior adviser sets up what is likely to be the first special election of 2021.

With Democrats’ House majority…

How Biden Rebuilt the Blue Wall

by Ryan Matsumoto December 3, 2020 · 2:28 PM EST

In 2016, Donald Trump shocked the world by flipping three “Blue Wall” states that had voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988: Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Although Barack Obama carried these states by comfortable margins in 2008 and 2012, Trump narrowly carried each of…

How Trump’s 2024 Candidacy Could Complicate GOP Chances in 2022

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 2, 2020 · 4:22 PM EST

After President Donald Trump boosted down-ballot Republicans in 2020, the GOP might be excited about his reported plans to avenge his loss by immediately beginning a race for the presidency in 2024. But while he delivered the White House once before and has shown a unique ability to consistently…

2020 Elections Recap: Great Expectations

November 19, 2020 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin 

Whenever Donald Trump is on the ballot, things don’t go according to plan. It may only be fitting for a year such as 2020 that we’re staring at a strange combination of election results and reaction.

Republicans are taking victory laps while Trump is…

Georgia Senate Runoffs: Double Overtime

by Jacob Rubashkin November 19, 2020 · 2:29 PM EST

The 2020 elections aren’t over yet. Republicans will hold at least 50 seats in the new Senate, while Democrats will hold at least 48. With Democrats Joe Biden and Kamala Harris emerging victorious in the presidential election, control of the chamber will come down to two Senate runoff elections in…

Trump’s Surprising Gains with Minority Voters

by Ryan Matsumoto November 19, 2020 · 2:28 PM EST

One of the first signs that we were in for a long election week was when Miami-Dade County, Florida released its first vote totals.  Although Joe Biden won Miami-Dade County 53 percent to 46 percent, this was a substantial decline from Hillary Clinton’s 64 percent to 34 percent margin in 2016.

The…

At Long Last, Senate Results

November 19, 2020 · 2:27 PM EST

Even though control of the Senate is hanging in the balance with the two runoffs in Georgia, we finally have results everywhere else. Here’s a brief summary of what happened in key Senate contests around the country.

Alabama. Tommy Tuberville (R) over Sen. Doug Jones (D) 60%-40%. GOP Takeover.…