Senate News & Analysis

For Democrats, It’s All About (Years) After November

by Stuart Rothenberg February 5, 2014 · 3:57 PM EST

Politics is often about keeping one eye on today and another eye on tomorrow. That’s especially true for Democrats, who should not be completely disheartened about their party’s prospects.

November certainly looks like a challenging election for supporters of President Barack Obama — given the president’s anemic job…

Kansas Senate: The Electorate That Cried Wolf

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 31, 2014 · 2:59 PM EST

Any connection to President Barack Obama is often the kiss of death in a Republican primary (just ask Florida Senator Charlie Crist). But in Kansas, the President’s cousin is trying to oust a veteran Republican lawmaker.

Dr. Milton Wolf is taking on Sen. Pat Roberts in yet another…

Report Shorts (January 31, 2014) - Florida 13, Idaho 1, Montana At-Large, Oklahoma Senate

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 31, 2014 · 2:56 PM EST

Florida’s 13th District. The special election to replace the late Bill Young is heating up in this St. Petersburg-area seat. Republicans nominated lobbyist and former Young aide David Jolly earlier this month while Democratic hopes rest on the shoulders of former state Chief Financial Officer Alex Sink.

Recent…

Income Inequality: Democrats Have Some Work to Do

by Stuart Rothenberg January 31, 2014 · 9:52 AM EST

The 14th question of the Jan. 22-25 NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll produced a set of responses I didn’t expect.

The poll asked, “When it comes to reducing income inequality between the rich and the poor, do you want to see the government more involved than it…

2 Seats, 1 State, Zero Opportunities

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 30, 2014 · 12:01 PM EST

If Democrats plan to win Tom Coburn’s seat in Oklahoma, they’ll be working against the partisanship of the state and over six decades of history.

The Republican senator announced that he would leave his seat at the end of this Congress, two years before the end of his…

You Can’t Make This Stuff Up — and It’s Only January

by Stuart Rothenberg January 29, 2014 · 10:13 AM EST

Sometimes, it’s difficult to tell the difference between a real news story and something from The Onion.

Earlier reports that entertainer Clay Aiken was considering a run for the Democratic nomination in North Carolina’s 2nd District have been overtaken by new stories about the singer “putting together a…

Virginia Senate: Gillespie’s Entry Gives Republicans a Chance

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 17, 2014 · 10:27 AM EST

Republicans continue to expand the Senate map in their quest to win back the majority in 2014. With former Republican National Committee Chairman Ed Gillespie in the race, Democratic Sen. Mark Warner can no longer take his re-election race for granted. But Virginia is still a long way…

Pay No Attention to That Title of Speaker in Front of My Name

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 11, 2014 · 9:30 AM EST

As speaker of the state House, Thom Tillis is one of the most powerful politicians in North Carolina. But you wouldn’t know it from the Republican’s first ad in the U.S. Senate race.

“In the private sector, businesses are built on accountability,” Tillis says. “But accountability is a…

Early TV Ads: Not New and Mostly a Waste of Money

by Stuart Rothenberg January 8, 2014 · 10:29 AM EST

By mid-December, more than $17.5 million had been spent on TV ads in just four Senate contests: in North Carolina ($8.3 million), Kentucky ($3.5 million), Arkansas ($3.4 million) and Louisiana ($2.3 million), according to a recent piece by Roll Call’s Kyle Trygstad.

The numbers are interesting and…

All GOP Primaries Are Not Created Equal

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 6, 2014 · 10:48 AM EST

Reporters can be lazy. I know this is a shock for many of you, but I think some of the media coverage of Republican Senate primaries has been somewhat shallow.

The short story is that not all primaries are created equal.

Senators vary in vulnerability, challengers vary…