New Jersey’s 3rd District — Rating: Lean Republican
Interview Date: July 11, 2018
Date of Birth: July 12, 1982; Boston, Mass.
Education: University of Chicago (2004), Oxford Univ. (Master’s 2005, Doctorate 2010)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Barack Obama carried the 3rd District in 2008 and…
The selection of Brett Kavanaugh for the Supreme Court will have less of an impact on November’s midterms than you think. Sure, depending how the confirmation process develops, it’s possible the nomination could affect a handful of races, but the most likely scenario will not change the overall trajectory of…
Sometimes political handicapping can be difficult. Shifting a well-liked Democratic senator in North Dakota, who has won a close and competitive race previously, to Tilts Republican from Toss-Up wasn’t an easy decision. But Republican Seth Grossman is making it easy for political analysts.
The former Atlantic County Freeholder won the…
You can explain away 10-term Rep. Joe Crowley’s loss in the Democratic primary to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by pointing to demographic changes in the district or campaign missteps by the incumbent, but that obscures a larger trend. Similar to the dynamic in the Republican Party, the power of the Democratic establishment…
Pennsylvania’s 8th District - Rating: Change to Lean Democratic
Interview Date: June 12, 2018
Date of Birth: May 15, 1963; Fountain Hill, Penn.
Education: Lehigh (1985 BA, 1986 BS); Columbia (MBA 1988)
Elected Office: None; First run for office.
Current Outlook: Matt Cartwright was first elected in 2012 by running…
Missouri’s 4th District — Rating: Solid Republican
Interview Date: June 14, 2018
Date of Birth: Sept. 6, 1989; Springfield, Missouri
Education: Univ. of Missouri (2011, current PHd student)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Any Democratic challenger would struggle in this west-central Missouri district, considering Hillary Clinton…
Virginia’s 5th District - Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: June 20, 2018
Date of Birth: March 17, 1970; Manassas, Va.
Education: Univ. of Virginia (1998)
Elected Office: None; Ran for governor in 2017
Current Outlook: Democrat Leslie Cockburn was set to face GOP Rep. Tom Garrett in November, but the…
You need to hand it to President Donald Trump, his entire administration and his party. It takes more than a little chutzpah to act in a way that seems callous to the concerns of children. First, it was gun control. Now it is immigration in general, and separating children from…
There’s plenty to digest from Tuesday’s primaries in New York, Maryland, Utah and beyond, but here are a few initial thoughts encapsulated in some run-on sentences.
Crowley’s loss. North Carolina Rep. Robert Pittenger’s primary loss last month wasn’t a surprise (considering his narrow win in 2016), and South Carolina…
After defeating a flawed candidate in 2012 and President Donald Trump winning Indiana in 2016 by nearly 20 points, Sen. Joe Donnelly is widely regarded as one of the most vulnerable Democratic senators in the country. But don’t count him out yet, according to a new Republican poll.
Former state…
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