Archive

Why the 2024 Presidential Race Will Start Later Than Expected

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 8, 2021 · 9:00 AM EDT

While campaigns are starting earlier and earlier, and there certainly isn’t an “off year” from elections anymore, the 2024 presidential race is primed to get off to a late start.

President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump have the ability to freeze the presidential field of other…

Colorado Redistricting: New District, Fortunate Incumbents

by Bradley Wascher October 4, 2021 · 9:19 AM EDT

In the late hours of Sept. 28, Colorado’s independent redistricting commission approved a new congressional map. The Centennial State was allocated an additional representative in Congress during this year’s decennial reapportionment, and (pending final approval from the state Supreme Court) we now…

Virginia Governor: Rating Change

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 29, 2021 · 5:30 PM EDT

Even though this fall's race for governor in Virginia is just one race in one state, it will determine the initial narrative of the midterm elections next year.

Former Democratic Gov. Terry McAuliffe has had a consistent advantage over Republican Glenn Youngkin in the commonwealth, but some…

Missouri Senate: Show Me the Nominee

by Jacob Rubashkin September 23, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

Republicans need to gain just a single seat to regain the Senate majority, but they have limited takeover opportunities and can’t afford to lose any of their own seats because of self-inflicted problems. Missouri has the potential to become a flashpoint for the GOP next year, with major…

Maine 2: Survivor Series

by Jacob Rubashkin September 23, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Three years later, Republicans still aren’t convinced Rep. Bruce Poliquin lost re-election in 2018. But the former GOP congressman from Maine is running again and is a key piece of the GOP path to retake the House.

Republicans need a net gain of just five seats to win back the majority in the…

Candidate Conversation: Tiffany Smiley (R)

September 23, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

Washington Senate — Rating: Solid Democratic

Interview Date: Sept. 20, 2021

Date of Birth: April 18, 1981; Kennewick, Wash.

Education: Columbia Basin College; Whitworth Univ. BSN

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Smiley is the frontrunner for the GOP nomination but…

The One Thing Biden Can’t Afford to Lose

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 17, 2021 · 11:48 AM EDT

The next presidential election is more than three years away, and even the midterms won’t happen for another 14 months. Yet President Joe Biden could be on the brink of losing something costly: the benefit of the doubt. 

While I’m on the record as skeptical that Afghanistan will be the defining…

Recalling the California Recall

by Jacob Rubashkin September 15, 2021 · 1:52 PM EDT

In the end, it wasn’t even close.

Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom of California easily turned back the effort to remove him from office on Tuesday. With two-thirds of the vote counted already, 64 percent of voters opted to keep the first-term incumbent, compared to just 36 percent who wanted him out.…