Archive

Report Shorts (January 21, 2022)

January 21, 2022 · 2:28 PM EST

California House. Democratic Rep. Jerry McNerney announced he will not seek re-election, setting off a brief game of musical chairs. The congressman was assumed to be running for the newly-drawn 9th District. But now that McNerney is on his way out, Democratic Rep. Josh Harder will run for…

Michigan Redistricting: Mix and Match

by Jacob Rubashkin January 13, 2022 · 10:40 AM EST

While Michigan’s new congressional map looks even on paper, the final results could be skewed toward Republicans, thanks to a positive political environment.

Currently, the Michigan congressional delegation is evenly divided, with seven Democrats and seven Republicans. But that won’t be the case…

2022 House Ratings (January 13, 2022)

January 13, 2022 · 10:39 AM EST

New Jersey Redistricting: Malinowski Draws the Short Straw

by Jacob Rubashkin January 10, 2022 · 4:00 PM EST

Winning has consequences. Electoral success in House races over the last decade made the latest round of redistricting more complicated for New Jersey Democrats because they have more incumbents. The final result looks like one of their own will face a very challenging re-election race. 

Ten years…

2022 Senate Overview: History Favors Republicans

January 7, 2022 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Democrats have a better chance of maintaining control of the Senate than the House in 2022, but that doesn’t mean the party should feel too confident about their chances. 

With a 50-50 Senate and no easy takeover opportunities, Democrats have no room for…

2022 Senate Overview (January 7, 2022): Alabama - Georgia

by Jacob Rubashkin January 7, 2022 · 2:29 PM EST

Alabama. Open; Richard Shelby (R) not seeking re-election. Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 24 primary, June 21 runoff (if necessary). The GOP field to replace Shelby has evolved over the last few months with Lynda Blanchard, former ambassador to Slovenia in the Trump administration, now running for…

2022 Senate Overview (January 7, 2022): Hawaii - North Carolina

January 7, 2022 · 2:28 PM EST

Hawaii. Brian Schatz (D) appointed 2012, elected 2014 (70%), 2016 (74%). June 7 filing deadline. Aug. 13 primary. No Democrats or Republicans have filed to run against Schatz. There’s still five months for a challenger to emerge but none that would complicate Schatz’s quest for another term. The…

2022 Senate Overview (January 7, 2022): North Dakota - Wisconsin

January 7, 2022 · 2:27 PM EST

North Dakota. John Hoeven (R) elected 2010 (76%), 2016 (78%). April 11 filing deadline. June 14 primary. Hoeven had $2.7 million in the bank on Sept. 30. Trump won the state by 33 points in 2020. Solid Republican.

Ohio. Open; Rob Portman (R) not seeking re-election. Feb. 2 filing deadline. May 3…