Archive

Georgia Redistricting: New Lines on Their Minds

by Jacob Rubashkin February 4, 2022 · 2:29 PM EST

Georgia Republicans are on their heels. After nearly two decades of dominating statewide politics, the GOP came within two points of losing the governorship for the first time in 16 years, failed to deliver the state’s electoral votes to the Republican candidate for president for the first time…

The Impact of a Supreme Court Vacancy on 2022

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 4, 2022 · 2:28 PM EST

Considering President Joe Biden is on the cusp of making a lifetime appointment to the country’s top court, Associate Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer’s retirement is big news. Yet the upcoming confirmation is most likely to have a muted impact on the 2022 elections. 

When evaluating the…

Report Shorts (February 4, 2022)

by Jacob Rubashkin February 4, 2022 · 2:27 PM EST

Ohio Senate
Wealthy car dealer and entrepreneur Bernie Moreno has suspended his campaign for the GOP nomination. Moreno had spent $2.5 million on TV ads but couldn’t break through in the crowded field to succeed retiring Sen. Rob Portman. Even with Moreno out, there are still five candidates with…

If History’s a Guide, Biden Ain’t Getting Any Stronger

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 2, 2022 · 11:52 AM EST

President Joe Biden’s weak political standing looks like cement around the feet of the Democratic majorities in Congress. And even though the 2022 midterm elections are still more than 9 months away, history tells us Biden’s job rating isn’t likely to improve and more likely will deteriorate before…

Michigan 3: Scholten Back for a Rematch

by Jacob Rubashkin February 1, 2022 · 6:10 AM EST

Hillary Scholten, the Democratic nominee for Michigan’s 3rd District in 2020, is running for the Grand Rapids-area seat again, setting up a potential rematch with freshman GOP Rep. Peter Meijer.

But unlike in 2020, when Meijer defeated Scholten by 6 points, 53-47 percent, the 3rd District is now…

Illinois Redistricting: Multiple Member-on-Member Matchups

by Bradley Wascher January 28, 2022 · 1:52 PM EST

Although the new Illinois congressional map will solidify Democrats’ advantage for years to come, neither party left the redistricting process unscathed. From eliminated districts to double-bunked incumbents, the revised lines introduce new intrigue — and uncertainty — to Prairie State politics. 

Pennsylvania Senate: GOP Spending Spree

by Jacob Rubashkin January 21, 2022 · 2:30 PM EST

Five months ago, the Republican primary to succeed retiring Sen. Pat Toomey looked like a relatively straightforward affair. But after the frontrunner dropped out amidst scandal and with the primary fast approaching, the Republican field in Pennsylvania is as unsettled as it ever has been.

The…

Maryland Redistricting: Crossing the Chesapeake

by Jacob Rubashkin January 21, 2022 · 2:29 PM EST

As one of the few states in which Democrats had full control of redistricting, Maryland was a major focus of national Democrats looking for any advantages heading into a tough midterm election.

But while state legislators in Annapolis moved against the congressional delegation’s lone remaining…