Publicly, Democrats insist that the House is “in play,” touting national polling that shows their party leading by a few points on the generic ballot. While President Obama and Senate Democrats appear to be gaining an advantage, a district-by-district analysis of the House continues to show…
We moved six states last week – all of them toward President Obama. Putting Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin into the “Lean Obama” category pushed the president to 278 electoral votes -- eight more than he needs to be re-elected.
Of course, those three states, and five others are still “in play,”…
Gubernatorial contests are few (just 11 states will elect a governor in November) and remarkably static. Even though some of these races have been going for months, there hasn’t been a lot of fundamental movement.
Open seat contests in Montana and New Hampshire look like two of the closest and…
Looking for clues about November? If so, you might keep your eyes on a handful of House incumbents seeking re-election. Their fate could tell you a great deal about the mood of the voters, the ability of candidates to separate themselves from the top of the ticket and the importance of individual…
We are moving six states in our presidential race ratings: Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin from Toss-up to Lean Obama, and Michigan, New Mexico and Pennsylvania to Solid Obama.
Deteriorating state poll numbers for Mitt Romney suggest that these states have moved a few points toward the president,…
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