Archive

Jumping to Conclusions on the 2012 Elections

by Stuart Rothenberg November 6, 2012 · 10:00 AM EST

If there is one thing that you can probably bet on, it is that the winners and losers in today’s balloting will draw the wrong conclusions from the outcome.

The winner of the presidential election — of 270 votes in the Electoral College — will almost certainly see his victory as confirmation…

Settle In: Election Night Viewers’ Guide

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 6, 2012 · 8:00 AM EST

With eight presidential swing states, a dozen competitive Senate seats and more than 60 House seats in play, it’s impossible to follow them all as polls close and returns trickle in tonight. Here is a guide for when and where to focus your attention to accurately measure how things are going for…

One-Page Election Night Guide

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 3, 2012 · 4:55 PM EDT

In order to ease your Election Night experience, we've put together a 1-page, downloadable Election Night Guide with our House, Senate, and Gubernatorial ratings. Just click here for the document. Keep in mind, these are our ratings as of Nov. 2, and check back over the weekend and into Tuesday…

Democrats Likely to Hold Senate, Republican Gains in Doubt (Senate Overview, November 2, 2012)

November 2, 2012 · 3:30 PM EDT

While Republicans are a virtual lock to hold the House, GOP chances of taking back the Senate remain decidedly long.

Republicans now look to have gained a narrow advantage in two states - Nevada and North Dakota - which have been toss-ups for much of the cycle, and Arizona looks more likely…

Democrats Likely to Gain House Seats, but GOP Pick-ups Possible (House Overview, November 2, 2012)

November 2, 2012 · 3:29 PM EDT

As we wrote last week, the fight for the House looks very much over, but a closer examination of our ratings explains why.

Republicans start with 205 safe seats, putting them just 13 away from the 218 they need for a majority. Democrats, on the other hand, start with 162 safe seats. In order…

Presidential Race is Too Close to Call

by Stuart Rothenberg November 2, 2012 · 3:28 PM EDT

National polling continues to show the presidential race extremely close, with neither Barack Obama nor Mitt Romney opening up any daylight in the race. That’s not good for the president, since most insiders doubt that he will get the majority of late-deciders.

But the race for the White House…

Republicans Set to Take Ground in Gubernatorial Races (Gubernatorial Overview, November 2, 2012)

November 2, 2012 · 3:27 PM EDT

This cycle, just 11 states are voting for a chief executive and just three of those states (Montana, New Hampshire, and Washington) are coming down to the wire. Incumbent Democrats not seeking re-election in all three states.. 

Republicans are already poised to win North Carolina, where former…