Archive

About That Terrible GOP Brand …

by Stuart Rothenberg March 27, 2013 · 11:50 AM EDT

I certainly agree with pollster Andrew Kohut’s overall assessment of the Republican Party’s image and positioning problems in his March 24 Washington Post piece. I, too, have written about the GOP’s problems.

But in the piece, Kohut compares the GOP’s current position to the Democrats’ “in the…

South Dakota Senate Seat Remains a Pure Toss-Up…For Now

March 26, 2013 · 11:38 AM EDT

Not every retirement is a game-changer. Democrats were going to have a difficult time defending the South Dakota Senate seat with or without Sen. Tim Johnson (D). But now that the senator has made his decision not to seek re-election, the playing field to replace him can start to solidify.

For…

Senate: Mixing Apples and Oranges in West Virginia

by Stuart Rothenberg March 25, 2013 · 9:30 AM EDT

Hoping to hang on to retiring Sen. Jay Rockefeller’s open seat, Democratic strategists are passing the word that attorney and energy company executive Nick Preservati is looking closely at the 2014 Senate contest in West Virginia.

National Journal’s Hotline on Call describes the possible…

Minnesota House: Competitive Drought No More?

by Jessica Taylor March 22, 2013 · 2:30 PM EDT

The Land of 10,000 Lakes has barely seen a drip of political action in recent years, but that could change drastically in 2014, with as many as five of Minnesota’s eight House seats potentially in play.

In 2008, the state not only hosted the Republican National Convention, it was the site of…

California 31: Takeover, Take 2

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 22, 2013 · 2:29 PM EDT

Don’t get caught looking ahead.

It happens during March Madness when heavily-favored basketball teams look past a “gimme” game to a future, more difficult opponent, but lose before getting that far. And it happened to Democrats in California in 2012.

President Barack Obama had no trouble…

Report Shorts (March 22, 2013)

March 22, 2013 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona Governor. Former U.S. Surgeon General/2012 Senate nominee Richard Carmona (D) announced that he wouldn’t run for governor next year. Former state board of regents chairman/former congressional candidate Fred DuVal and state House Minority Leader Chad Campbell are still potential…

The GOP: A Party Increasingly at Odds With Itself

by Stuart Rothenberg March 22, 2013 · 10:41 AM EDT

“I am not a member of any organized party — I am a Democrat,” humorist Will Rogers said many years ago. But if Rogers were alive today, he’d undoubtedly see his party as a model of organization and unity when compared to the GOP.

The Republican Party continues to fracture more seriously than I…

Arizona: Carmona Declines to Run, Keeps Future Options Open

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 21, 2013 · 3:45 PM EDT

Timing is everything in politics, and for Richard Carmona, 2014 isn’t the right time.

The Arizona Democrat narrowly lost a bid for the U.S. Senate in a very competitive race last fall and was being encouraged by Democrats in Washington, D.C. and the Grand Canyon State to run for governor in…

History May Tell Us Little About GOP’s 2014 Senate Prospects

by Stuart Rothenberg March 21, 2013 · 9:58 AM EDT

A recent National Journal item caught my attention. Entitled “Expanding the Map,” it began: “When Republicans gloat about the seven Democratic-held, red-state Senate seats up in 2014, Democrats can note that only six of their incumbents have lost since the 1990s.”

The statement is true … but…