Archive

Why Vance was Picked and What Could Happen to his Ohio Senate Seat

by Jacob Rubashkin July 26, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

MILWAUKEE— Former President Donald Trump selected Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance as his running mate, opting to double down on an ideological ally rather than include racial or political diversity on his presidential ticket.

Vance reportedly beat out North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio,…

Report Shorts (July 26, 2024)

July 26, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Michigan Senate. Businessman Sandy Pensler dropped out of the Republican race and endorsed former Rep. Mike Rogers at a Trump rally in Grand Rapids on Saturday. It was clear that the GOP establishment preferred Rogers considering he received an evening speaking slot at the Republican National…

The Political Calculations and Consequences of Harris’s Vice Presidential Considerations

by Jacob Rubashkin July 24, 2024 · 11:59 AM EDT

As Vice President Kamala Harris locks down support as the new Democratic presidential nominee, her next big decision will be to select a running mate to help her take on former President Donald Trump and Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance.

Harris’s pick will be her first major decision as her party’s…

Presidential: Biden’s Exit Steers Election Into Uncharted Waters

July 21, 2024 · 4:47 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Unthinkable even a month ago, President Joe Biden’s decision to decline the Democratic nomination upends the 2024 election 106 days before Election Day.

Biden’s exit comes after an agonizing three weeks following his dismal debate performance against former…

Podcast Episode 27: Assassination Attempt, Republican Convention, Michigan 7 Poll

July 17, 2024 · 9:11 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin, on location at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, analyze the state of the presidential race after the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump, talk about the first two days of the Republican convention, and release…

Michigan 7 Poll Underscores Challenges for Democrats

by Jacob Rubashkin July 17, 2024 · 1:15 PM EDT

Republicans lead up and down the ticket in a crucial midwestern swing district, according to new polling conducted by Noble Predictive Insights for Inside Elections.

In Michigan’s 7th District, one of 10 seats nationwide rated a toss-up, Republican Tom Barrett holds a substantial advantage over…

Democrats Sinking or Swimming with Biden?

July 11, 2024 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin

It only took 90 minutes on a debate stage for President Joe Biden to bring instability to an otherwise stable and competitive race. And the current focus on his age and ability has Democrats searching for direction in order to avoid a wipeout. While the…

Nebraska 2: Omaha Tiebreaker

by Jacob Rubashkin July 11, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

No one congressional district may have more political importance than Nebraska’s 2nd.

Anchored by Omaha, the 2nd District is the most evenly divided district in the entire country (according to Inside Elections’ Baseline). And it’s also one of just five congressional districts to cast its own…

Report Shorts (July 11, 2024)

July 11, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona’s 1st District. A Noble Predictive Insights poll fielded June 25-27 of 420 likely Democratic primary voters found five candidates within 8 points of each other and more than a third of the electorate still undecided. Former state Rep. Amish Shah and former state party chairman Andrei Cherny…

Return to Sender: Bowman Joins Rare “Primary In, Primary Out” Class

by Jacob Rubashkin June 29, 2024 · 1:24 PM EDT

New York Rep. Jamaal Bowman’s loss to George Latimer in the 16th District Democratic primary puts the progressive in rare company among House members.

While it is uncommon for any incumbent to lose a primary race — it happens just 2 percent of the time on average in any given cycle — it is…