Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Melanie Mason of Politico analyze the fate of Proposition 50 in California as Gov. Gavin Newsom and Democrats try to counter President Donald Trump and Republicans’ efforts to redistrict in GOP states nationwide. The crew also walks through more than half a…
If there’s one state that’s accustomed to mid-decade redistricting, it’s North Carolina. The Tar Heel State drew itself new congressional districts for the 2016, 2020, 2022, and 2024 elections — and so it’s not too surprising that it’s jumping on the bandwagon of the 2026 cycle’s gerrymandering…
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
While mid-decade redistricting has thrown the fight for the House into a state of uncertainty, the battle for the Senate majority has been remarkably stable. And nearly halfway through the cycle, Republicans are still favored to maintain control.
There’s…
Alabama. Open; Tommy Tuberville (R) running for governor. Filing deadline Jan. 23. Primary May 19. Runoff (if necessary) June 16. This has been a crowded but quiet race for an open seat. State Attorney General Steve Marshall has been elected statewide, Rep. Barry Moore could get help from outside…
Kentucky. Open; Mitch McConnell (R), not seeking re-election. Filing deadline Jan. 9. Primary May 19. Former state Attorney General Daniel Cameron remains the polling frontrunner in a GOP primary that also includes Rep. Andy Barr and Lexington businessman Nate Morris, thanks to his high name ID…
North Carolina. Open; Thom Tillis (R) not seeking re-election. Filing deadline Dec. 19. Primary March 3. Runoff (if necessary) May 12. The general election matchup is effectively set more than a year ahead of the midterms: Democratic former Gov. Roy Cooper will face off against former RNC chairman…
California’s 3rd District. Former state Sen. Richard Pan is running as a Democrat against Rep. Kevin Kiley, in a district that could get much better for Democrats if voters approve a new congressional map this fall. The pediatrician and vaccine advocate could also switch to running in the 6th…
Former Sen. John E. Sununu announced a comeback bid in New Hampshire on Wednesday, boosting Republican chances of winning the seat near the core of the fight for Senate control in 2026.
Republicans remain favored to maintain their majority at this stage of the cycle because Democrats need a net…
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