After the 2016 elections, I’ve ruled out ruling things out.
Of course not every result has an equal chance of coming true, but I think it’s OK to embrace uncertainty for a set of elections that won’t take place for another year-and-a-half. Roughly the same people who were certain Hillary Clinton…
Alabama.
2nd District (Martha Roby, R, re-elected in 2016 with 49%). 2016 Presidential Winner: Trump 65%. The congresswoman was re-elected with less than 50 percent last year when a conservative write-in candidate received nearly 11 percent after Roby pulled her support from Trump because of the…
Kansas.
2nd District (Open; Lynn Jenkins, R, not seeking re-election). Trump 56%. The combination of an open seat and a strong Democratic candidate (former state House Minority Leader Paul Davis) makes this an interesting race, even though Trump won handily. Davis lost the 2014 gubernatorial race…
North Carolina.
9th District (Robert Pittenger, R, re-elected 58%). Trump 54%. The federal investigation into the congressman closed without charges, but Democrats aren’t letting Pittenger off the hook. The party is poised to land an interesting recruit: solar energy financier Dan McCready, who is…
You’ve probably never heard of James Kane, but elected officials, party strategists, and even some reporters could learn from his perspective as a behavioral scientist (instead of a partisan hack) about how to fracture President Donald Trump’s base and the future of the two parties.
I rarely have…
A Republican friend of mine recently argued Democrats need to run candidates like former congressman Heath Shuler if they are going to become competitive again as a national party. The Democrats, he insisted, are just too liberal, especially culturally, to win where they must.
Given the Democrats’…
With an unpopular governor finally headed for the exits because of term limits and without a U.S. Senate seat up for re-election, Alabama was slated for a sleepy 2018 cycle. But President Donald Trump tapped Republican Sen. Jeff Sessions to be his Attorney General, opening up his Senate seat which…
Republican Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen has been in office so long that her first campaign manager served two terms as governor of Florida and his brother served two terms as president since she was first elected to Congress. But now that she’s not seeking re-election, Democrats have an opportunity to…
Everyone take a deep breath. Democrats taunting Republicans on the House Floor. Republicans taking a victory lap in the White House Rose Garden. It’s all a little premature.
First of all, the American Health Care Act isn’t even law yet and it’s not clear what it will look like if/when the Senate…
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