Archive

A Harbaugh Elected in Ohio? You’ll Know It’s a Wave

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 5, 2017 · 8:46 AM EDT

Next year, everyone will publish election guides explaining which races to watch to figure out the winds of the midterms and predict if a wave is on the horizon. But if you only have time to watch one race, watch Ohio’s 7th District.

On Thursday, former Navy pilot Ken Harbaugh, a Democrat,…

The GOP’s Political Gamble on the Environment

by Stuart Rothenberg June 4, 2017 · 8:00 AM EDT

While activists on both sides of the aisle and both ends of the ideological spectrum argue about whether President Donald Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris accord is a good idea, the political risks of that decision are undeniable.

The president’s announcement is likely to elevate the salience of…

Georgia 6 Special: Down to the Wire

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 2, 2017 · 2:30 PM EDT

It shouldn’t have been a surprise when Democrats lost two special elections in districts Donald Trump won by over 20 points, but explaining away a loss in Georgia’s 6th District, where Hillary Clinton narrowly lost to Trump would be much more difficult. Thankfully for Democrats, Jon Ossoff is well…

Introducing the Expanded Inside Elections Team

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 2, 2017 · 2:29 PM EDT

I hate press releases, but I’m delighted to introduce a few new members of the Inside Elections team, so this brief will have to suffice. 

Later this month, Leah Askarinam will start as a full-time Reporter & Analyst for Inside Elections, covering all of the key House, Senate, and gubernatorial…

Montana At-Large: Dems Eye 2018 in Wake of Gianforte Victory

by Robert Yoon June 2, 2017 · 2:28 PM EDT

MISSOULA, MONTANA – Republican Greg Gianforte’s six-point win last week over musician Rob Quist to fill Montana’s lone U.S. House seat continues the GOP’s 20-year stranglehold on state congressional races. But given the chaotic manner in which the race ended, as well as long-standing political…

Minnesota House Races: Majority at Stake

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 2, 2017 · 2:27 PM EDT

Donald Trump came close to breaking Republicans’ presidential losing streak in Minnesota that has spanned over four decades, though he didn’t need the 10 electoral votes anyway. Next year, the North Star State will be one of the most critical battlegrounds in the fight for the House. 

At least a…

Candidate Conversation - Jim Hagedorn (R)

June 2, 2017 · 2:26 PM EDT

Candidate for Minnesota’s 1st District

Interview Date: May 24, 2017

Date of Birth: August 4, 1962; Blue Earth, Minn.

Education: George Mason Univ. (1993)

Political Office: None 

Current Outlook: Hagedorn is a leading contender for the GOP nomination in an open seat created by DFL Rep. Tim…

Key Counties to Watch in Montana’s Special Congressional Election

by Robert Yoon May 25, 2017 · 9:30 AM EDT

BOZEMAN, MONTANA -- Wednesday’s unusual confrontation between Republican Greg Gianforte and a political reporter have given a boost to Democratic hopes of picking off the vacant Montana at-large House seat previously held by now-Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke. Although Democratic nominee Rob Quist…

Time for a Second Look at the Senate in 2018?

by Stuart Rothenberg May 25, 2017 · 8:58 AM EDT

The numbers are daunting for Senate Democrats.

The party needs to net three seats to retake the Senate, and with only eight Republican Senate seats up in 2018 compared to 25 Democratic seats, Democratic prospects are bleak. (Two of those Democratic seats are Independents who caucus with the…