New Hampshire Democrat Jeanne Shaheen will not run for a fourth term, complicating her party’s already difficult path back to the Senate majority next year.
While New Hampshire was already on the Senate battleground, Shaheen’s decision could set off a prolonged and difficult primary between…
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
The GOP majority in the House is at risk and will likely be the most consequential battle in 2026, while Senate Republicans might be insulated from a midterm backlash.
Typically, midterm elections go poorly for the president’s party, particularly in the…
Alabama.
2nd District (Mobile, Montgomery, and eastern Black Belt), Shomari Figures, D, elected 55%. Harris 54%. There’s little appetite among Republicans to take on Figures unless court decisions allow Alabama to redraw its congressional map. Solid Democratic.
Alaska.
At-Large, Nick Begich, R,…
Kansas.
3rd District (Kansas City suburbs) Sharice Davids, D, re-elected 53%. Harris 51%. Davids has earned a reputation as a tough competitor and extracts a grudging respect from Republicans, who don’t see her as a serious target this cycle. Solid Democratic.
Kentucky.
6th District (Greater…
North Carolina.
1st District (Inland northeastern North Carolina) Don Davis, D, re-elected 49.5%. Trump 51%. Laurie Buckhout, the 2024 nominee who lost to Davis by less than 2 points, could run again though GOP strategists are skeptical she will take the plunge. Rocky Mount Mayor Sandy Roberson,…
Alabama Senate. GOP Sen. Tommy Tuberville is telling colleagues that he is interested in running for governor, according to Punchbowl News. That would set off a competitive GOP race to replace him in the Senate. Lt. Gov. Will Ainsworth, state Attorney General Steve Marshall, state House Speaker…
Toss-up
AZ 6 (Ciscomani, R)
CA 13 (Gray, D)
CA 45 (Tran, D)
CO 8 (Evans, R)
IA 1 (Miller-Meeks, R)
MI 7 (Barrett, R)
NC 1 (Davis, D)
NY 17 (Lawler, R)
PA 7 (Mackenzie, R)
VA 2 (Kiggans, R)
Tilt Democratic
CA 47 (Min, D)
ME 2 (Golden, D)
MI 8 (McDonald Rivet, D)
NM 2 (Vasquez, D)
NY 4 (Gillen, D)…
Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Briana Bierschbach of the Minnesota Star-Tribune analyze the fight for the Minnesota Senate seat left behind by retiring Democratic Sen. Tina Smith, talk about whether DFL Gov. Tim Walz will seek a historic third term and look ahead to who might run for Rep.…
Kentucky Sen. Mitch McConnell’s announcement that he would not seek an eighth term in office was not a surprise. But the decision by the longest serving Senate leader in American history nonetheless caps an era of politics defined by the master tactician, who reshaped the federal judiciary and…
