The map of competitive Senate races has opened up to some unexpected places. One year ago, it seemed unlikely that we’d be discussing whether Democrats could win a Senate seat in Tennessee or Texas, let alone that the GOP would lose a seat in Alabama. But North Dakota has been on the map since the…
It’s dangerous to extrapolate too much from any single special election, but the trend is clear across nearly all of the special elections over the past year: Democrats are over-performing and Republicans are struggling to hold open seats.
Democrats’ over-performance hasn’t been limited by…
New Mexico’s 1st District — Rating: Solid Democratic
Interview Date: April 17, 2018
Date of Birth: Dec. 2, 1960; Winslow, Ariz.
Education: Univ. of New Mexico (1994, law school 2006)
Elected Office: None; 2014 nominee for lieutenant governor
Current Outlook: Haaland is a top contender for…
Nevada’s 4th District — Rating: Likely Democratic
Interview Date: March 13, 2018
Date of Birth: June 23, 1957; Mesquite, Nev.
Education: Dixie State Univ.
Elected Office: U.S. House (former, 2011-12); state Assembly (former); Mesquite city council (former)
Current Outlook: Even though Hardy…
Minnesota’s 3rd District — Rating: Lean Republican
Interview Date: April 27, 2018
Date of Birth: Jan. 20, 1969; St. Paul, Minn.
Education: Brown Univ. (1991); Univ. of Minnesota business school (2000)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Rep. Erik Paulsen is one of the…
Nevada’s 3rd District — Rating: Tilt Democratic
Interview Date: March 15, 2018
Date of Birth: Nov. 7, 1966; Canton, Ohio
Education: Carnegie Mellon Univ. (1989 undergrad, 1990 Master’s)
Elected Office: None; 4th District candidate (2016)
Current Outlook: In 2016, Lee finished third in the…
Florida’s 26th District — Rating: Tilt Republican
Interview Date: March 14, 2018
Date of Birth: Jan. 18, 1971; Ecuador
Education: Pitzer College (1992), Claremont McKenna Graduate University (1996)
Elected Office: None; 2016 nominee for state senate
Current Outlook: Mucarsel-Powell lost a…
Washington’s 5th District —Rating: Likely R
Interview Date: March 15, 2018
Date of Birth: Oct. 19. 1956; Robinson, Ill.
Education: Univ. of Illinois (1974); Univ. of Colorado (master’s 1986)
Elected Office: State Senate (former, 1996-2012)
Current Outlook: President Donald Trump carried this…
Florida 17th District — Rating: Solid Republican
Interview Date: March 27, 2018
Date of Birth: May 19, 1978; Bradenton, Florida
Education: Univ. of Florida (2000, law school 2003)
Elected Office: State Senate (2016); State House (former, 2010-16)
Current Outlook: Republicans are looking for a…
New Jersey’s 2nd District — Rating: Tilt Democratic
Interview Date: March 15, 2018
Date of Birth: Feb. 23, 1953; New York, N.Y.
Education: Rutgers (1975); Fairleigh Dickinson Dental School (1979)
Elected Office: State Senate; State Assembly (former); Cape May County Freeholder (former); Dennis…
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