Inside Elections

2019-20 Gubernatorial Ratings (March 22, 2019)

March 22, 2019 · 2:25 PM EDT

2020 House Ratings (March 22, 2019)

March 22, 2019 · 2:24 PM EDT

Can a Senator be Nominated and Win the White House?

by Stuart Rothenberg March 13, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

The abundance of sitting senators running for president seems to confirm the old joke that a senator looking into a mirror sees a future president. But it doesn’t say much about whether the Senate is a good springboard to the White House. Historically, it has not been.

Sitting senators have…

New Mexico 2: Republicans Reminisce of 2010 Comeback

by Leah Askarinam March 8, 2019 · 2:30 PM EST

In 2018, for the second time in his life, Republican Steve Pearce left the U.S. House to run for higher office. And for the second time, he lost his bid for higher office while a Democrat won his House open seat. In 2020, Republicans are actually hoping for another repeat: that the new Democratic…

An Early Look at the 2020 Presidential Race

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 8, 2019 · 2:29 PM EST

When handicapping an election, it’s helpful to know where the race is happening and who the nominees are. And that’s problematic when trying to project the 2020 race for president that will happen 20 months from now. 

Based on the last few election cycles, the initial presidential battleground…

North Carolina 3rd & 9th: A Special Mess

by Leah Askarinam March 8, 2019 · 2:28 PM EST

North Carolina is set to host two elections this year: The 3rd District special will fill the seat of late Republican Rep. Walter Jones, while the 9th District will hold a new election because of allegations of fraud in the 2018 race.

The State Board of Elections and Gov. Roy Cooper recently set…

2020 Presidential Ratings (March 8, 2019)

March 8, 2019 · 2:27 PM EST

Fewer Members Taking the Leap to Governor

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 1, 2019 · 1:17 PM EST

Last cycle, nine members left Congress to try to become governor and five ended up winning the state’s top job. But this cycle will be a different story. While 38 states elected a governor in 2017 or 2018, just 14 states will elect a governor in the next two years. And fewer opportunities to move…

Democrats are Right to be Wary of Howard Schultz

by Stuart Rothenberg February 20, 2019 · 9:05 AM EST

The frenzy over businessman Howard Schultz’s announcement that he is considering an independent run for president is understandable.

Democrats think President Donald Trump is headed for defeat in a one-on-one general election contest, and anything that changes that trajectory improves his…

2020 House Overview: It’s Not Too Early

February 15, 2019 · 2:30 PM EST

by Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

It’s too early to project the outcome of House elections or the mood of the electorate 21 months from now. But it’s not too early to talk House races as potential candidates explore runs and incumbents decide whether to seek re-election.

At this early…