Kentucky. Mitch McConnell (R), elected 1984 (50%), 1990 (52%), 1996 (55%), 2002 (65%), 2008 (53%) and 2014 (56%). Trump won Kentucky by nearly 20 points in 2016, Republicans have a 57-42 percent Baseline advantage, and Democrats haven’t won a Senate race since 1992. But with the polarizing majority…
North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%). The nature of North Carolina as an emerging toss-up should breed a competitive contest. Republicans have a narrow 50-49 percent Baseline advantage. In 2016, President Trump won by 4 points and GOP Sen. Richard Burr won by 6 points, but Democrat…
New York’s 23rd District -- Rating: Solid Republican
Interview Date: April 2, 2019
Date of Birth: May 1, 1958; Rochester, N.Y.
Education: Univ. of Rochester (1981); Binghamton Univ. (Ph.d 1989); Cornell (J.D. 1995)
Elected Office: None; 2018 23rd District nominee
Current Outlook: It says a…
Democrats breathed a sigh of relief last week when Rep. Ruben Gallego decided not to run for the Senate, likely avoiding a primary in the run-up to a competitive general election in Arizona. That’s because “bitter,” “bloody,” and “bruising” seem to be the most commonly used adjectives to describe…
For most of the last campaign cycle, Republican ad-makers treated then-House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi like a piñata.
They used her name and image in thousands of GOP television spots around the country, trying to turn the midterm election into a referendum on her liberalism and “San Francisco…
There’s really no question Democrats are going to win younger voters in 2020. But what matters for them is the size of their margin of victory.
Republicans haven’t carried 18-to-29-year-olds in an election cycle since 1994, when exit polling showed them besting Democrats in this age group, 51…
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