Inside Elections

2026 House Ratings (April 17, 2025)

April 17, 2025 · 2:25 PM EDT

2026 Senate Ratings (April 17, 2025)

April 17, 2025 · 2:24 PM EDT

2025-26 Gubernatorial Ratings (April 17, 2025)

April 17, 2025 · 2:23 PM EDT

Podcast Episode 44: Trump, Tariffs, Economy, Election w/ Laura Weiss of Punchbowl News

April 11, 2025 · 11:47 AM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Laura Weiss of Punchbowl News analyze how President Donald Trump’s tariffs and the uncertainty of the economy and stock market affect his relationship with Republicans on Capitol Hill and how it could threaten Republicans’ majority in the House and the Senate…

Special Elections Confirm Changed Political Environment

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 3, 2025 · 2:30 PM EDT

With 19 months to go before the midterm elections, it’s too early to know what the political environment will be like in November 2026 and too early to project whether Republicans will maintain control of Congress. 

But we do know that the political environment has changed since Donald Trump and…

House Redistricting Status Update

by Jacob Rubashkin April 3, 2025 · 2:29 PM EDT

The 2020 Census is long past, but a half dozen or more states are still sorting out the legality of their congressional maps, leaving more than a hundred districts in litigation limbo ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.

While Democrats need a net gain of just three seats to recapture the…

Four Districts that Could Feature Sleeper House Races

by Jacob Rubashkin April 3, 2025 · 2:28 PM EDT

What are the sleeper races? That’s one of the most common questions every election cycle, but there isn’t always a clear answer.

Identifying the most competitive races isn’t all that tough. Just look at seats with close races in the past or the districts that featured tens of millions of dollars…

New Jersey Governor: Garden State Gaggle

by Jacob Rubashkin April 3, 2025 · 2:27 PM EDT

Four years ago, Democrats and Republicans treated New Jersey’s gubernatorial race as an afterthought to the flashier contest in Virginia. But after Donald Trump came close to flipping the state in 2024, nobody is overlooking New Jersey this year — especially not the state’s most ambitious…

Podcast Episode 43: Potential Florida Upset , House Specials w/ Erin Covey of Cook Political Report

March 30, 2025 · 9:59 PM EDT

Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey of The Cook Political Report w/ Amy Walter talk through the potential for a Democratic upset in the special election for Florida's 6th District, as well as what we'll learn from the outcome there and in Florida's 1st District. The episode also touches on upcoming…

Florida Special Elections Come Into Focus

by Jacob Rubashkin March 28, 2025 · 10:54 AM EDT

A special election in Central Florida to fill National Security Advisor Michael Waltz’s congressional seat is attracting a crush of national spending and attention in its final week.

Republicans remain favored to hold Florida’s 6th Congressional District, albeit by a narrower margin than the…