Wisconsin is often described as the capital of the political world. But the Badger State is home to just one competitive congressional seat, western Wisconsin’s 3rd District.
The 3rd, currently represented by Republican Derrick Van Orden, has an Inside Elections Baseline score of just R+1.3,…
Arizona’s 5th District. Former Cardinals, Bears and Giants kicker Jay Feely announced his campaign for the open seat being left behind by GOP Rep. Andy Biggs, who is running for governor. President Donald Trump finished ahead of Kamala Harris by nearly 20 points in a seat that includes Gilbert and…
Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Adam Levy of the BBC analyze the impact of tariffs, immigration and President Donald Trump’s economic agenda in local economies in key states including Ohio and Florida ahead of the midterm elections and discuss how U.S. election coverage has changed over the…
Dick Durbin, the Senate Democratic whip and a five-term incumbent, made it official today that he will not seek re-election next year. Durbin’s decision, which had been telegraphed for the past several weeks, will likely kick off a crowded and expensive primary to replace him.
Durbin is the fifth…
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
Nineteen months before Election Day, it’s healthy to be open-minded about what could happen in next year’s midterm elections.
Under normal political conditions, Republicans would hold and potentially expand their Senate majority in 2026. Partisanship is…
Alabama. Tommy Tuberville (R), elected 2020 (60%). If the former Auburn football coach decides to run for governor rather than seek a second term, there could be a GOP free-for-all to succeed him in the Senate. But nobody is making serious moves until Tuberville tips his hand, and it looks like the…
Kentucky. Open; Mitch McConnell (R), not seeking re-election. McConnell’s decision not to seek re-election sets up a contentious GOP primary that could turn on Trump’s endorsement. Former state Attorney General Daniel Cameron was the first to launch his bid; the former McConnell protege and 2023…
North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%) and 2020 (49%). All eyes are on former Gov. Roy Cooper, who one Democratic source described as “Plans A through Z” for the party. But Cooper is finishing a fellowship at Harvard this spring and doesn’t seem to be in a rush to re-enter the…
Arizona’s 7th District. Sen. Mark Kelly and his wife, former Rep. Gabby Giffords endorsed Adelita Grijalva in the race to replace the late Democratic Rep. Raúl Grijalva, Adelita’s father. Former state Rep. Daniel Hernandez, who helped save Giffords’ life in the 2011 shooting that killed six people,…
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