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House Report Shorts (October 16, 2020)

October 16, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona.
6th District (Scottsdale and North Phoenix) Dave Schweikert, R, re-elected 55%.
Trump 52%. Strong performances at the top of the ticket from Joe Biden and Mark Kelly, the ongoing leftward shifts of educated, wealthy suburbs like the ones that make up this district, and Schweikert’s myriad…

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (October 16, 2020): Missouri Governor

by Jacob Rubashkin October 16, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT

Missouri. Mike Parson (R) ascended to governorship June 2018. This race remains Democrats’ one legitimate pickup opportunity of the cycle. State Auditor Nicole Galloway has continued her streak of strong fundraising, matching or outraising Parson for the last several filing periods, though the…

Virginia Baseline by District Highlights Democratic Strength in the House

by Ryan Matsumoto October 16, 2020 · 2:26 PM EDT

In 2018, Virginia was a crucial state in the battle for the House. Similar to their gains nationwide, Democrats flipped three suburban Republican-held districts: the 2nd, 7th, and 10th. Virginia will continue to play an important role in 2020 House elections, with competitive races in the 2nd, 5th,…

Presidential Snapshot in Time (October 16, 2020)

by Bradley Wascher October 16, 2020 · 10:10 AM EDT

We’re 17 days removed from the first presidential debate, 14 days removed from President Donald Trump’s coronavirus diagnosis, and 18 days away from November 3rd. It might feel like a year, but it’s only been two weeks — and following the fallout of these campaign-shaking events, Joe Biden finds…

Breaking Down Texas Districts With Baseline Metric

by Ryan Matsumoto October 12, 2020 · 9:59 AM EDT

As a presidential battleground with multiple hot House races and a competitive Senate contest, Texas is a legitimate part of the 2020 conservation. Now there’s another way to analyze Texas’ state of competitiveness. 

In 2018, Inside Elections revealed two of our new statistics: Baseline and Vote…

Presidential Snapshot in Time (October 2, 2020)

by Bradley Wascher October 2, 2020 · 10:15 AM EDT

In light of last night’s news about President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump testing positive for the coronavirus, there’s no doubt that this election has already received an October surprise. Pair this development with Tuesday night’s rowdy presidential debate, and it’s easy to conjure…