Senate News & Analysis

North Carolina Senate: Blue Like Hagan

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 23, 2013 · 3:00 PM EDT

Kay Hagan could run a perfect campaign and still lose re-election.

In 2008, the Democratic state senator was elected to the U.S. Senate because she was at the right place at the right time. She faced an aging politician who had lost touch with the state, and she…

3 Key Factors Each Party Is Banking On for a Senate Majority

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 20, 2013 · 11:09 AM EDT

The Senate playing field is starting to solidify, and the fight for the majority looks like it will be decided in about a dozen states. But even though the fields of candidates are still taking shape in some of those contests, both Republicans and Democrats are banking on some…

No, Really: It’s Still Too Early to Judge Senate Races

by Stuart Rothenberg August 14, 2013 · 10:48 AM EDT

“The GOP needs to gain three or four seats to win control (depending on which party controls the White House), and already five Democratic-held Senate seats are no better than toss-ups. The Democratic outlook would improve markedly if the party could swipe a couple of Republican seats…

Senate ‘In Play,’ But the Devil Is in the Details

by Stuart Rothenberg August 9, 2013 · 3:00 PM EDT

Two years ago, at the beginning of August 2011, Republicans looked poised to win back the United States Senate just four years after losing it. But by the time November of 2012 rolled around, it was clear that Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell’s dream of becoming Majority Leader would…

2014 Senate Overview (August 9, 2013) Alabama - Kansas

August 9, 2013 · 2:59 PM EDT

ALABAMA -- Jeff Sessions (R), elected 1996 (52%), 2002 (59%) and 2008 (63%).
The last Democratic Senate nominee to win over 40 percent of the vote in Alabama was Roger Bedford in 1996 (45.5 percent). Sessions’ June 30 FEC report showed him with nearly $3 million in the…

2014 Senate Overview (August 9, 2013) Kentucky - New Mexico

August 9, 2013 · 2:58 PM EDT

KENTUCKY -- Mitch McConnell (R), elected 1984 (50%), 1990 (52%), 1996 (55%), 2002 (65%), 2008 (53%).
Democrats are excited about Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes’ prospects against Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. They note that two recent Democratic pollsters (PPP and Mark Mellman) show the race a…

2014 Senate Overview (August 9, 2013) North Carolina - Wyoming

August 9, 2013 · 2:57 PM EDT

NORTH CAROLINA -- Kay Hagan (D), elected 2008 (53%).
Given the GOP’s recent victories in the state, Hagan had to expect a serious challenge. Mitt Romney carried the state last year, and Republican Pat McCrory won the governorship in November. In addition, the GOP now controls both houses…

Incumbent Primary Challengers: Some Promising, Others Premature

by Stuart Rothenberg August 7, 2013 · 10:20 AM EDT

The 2014 primary season has begun with high-profile Democratic Senate primaries in Massachusetts and New Jersey. But they’re the tip of the iceberg in what promises to be a cycle of competitive, and possibly nasty, primaries in both parties.

Republicans face plenty of intraparty fights, including one in…

Georgia Senate: Maybe, Potentially, Possibly … but Not Yet

by Stuart Rothenberg August 1, 2013 · 9:48 AM EDT

The recent entry of Michelle Nunn into the Georgia Senate race is good news for national and state Democrats who hope to swipe a normally Republican Senate seat in the Deep South.

Nunn, the daughter of former Democratic Sen. Sam Nunn, is CEO of Points of Light, a…

New Jersey Senate: Over Before It Began?

by Stuart Rothenberg July 30, 2013 · 2:58 PM EDT

The October 16 special election in New Jersey to fill the remainder of the late Senator Frank Lautenberg’s term doesn’t look like much of a contest.

With the GOP race drawing nothing more than second- or third-tier hopefuls, the Democratic nomination, which will be decided in an August…