Redistricting News & Analysis

Podcast Episode 58: New California Map Shakes Up Redistricting War w/ Mel Mason of Politico

October 30, 2025 · 10:26 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Melanie Mason of Politico analyze the fate of Proposition 50 in California as Gov. Gavin Newsom and Democrats try to counter President Donald Trump and Republicans’ efforts to redistrict in GOP states nationwide. The crew also walks through more than half a dozen individual seats…

Podcast Episode 57: Can Anyone Defeat Susan Collins? w/ Alex Seitz-Wald of Midcoast Villager

October 16, 2025 · 2:56 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Alex Seitz-Wald of The Midcoast Villager take a deep dive into Maine with a focus on the Democratic Senate primary between Gov. Janet Mills and oysterman Graham Platner before taking on Republican Susan Collins, a look at the 2nd District battle between Democratic Rep. Jared…

Podcast Episode 56: Midterms, NFL, Kentucky Derby w/ Steve Kornacki of NBC News

October 1, 2025 · 7:20 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Steve Kornacki of NBC News take a fresh look at the battle for the House majority with a little more than a year before the midterm elections, analyze the latest numbers in the race for governor in New Jersey this year and talk about how…

A Detailed Analysis of Missouri’s New Congressional Map

by Nathaniel Rakich September 29, 2025 · 9:41 AM EDT

The unprecedented redistricting arms race of 2025 continues apace. After Texas Republicans redrew their state’s congressional map with the goal of flipping from three to five House seats, California Democrats voted to place their own new congressional map before voters this November that would…

Podcast Episode 55: Two Biggest Races of 2025 w/ Abby Turner of National Journal’s Hotline

September 18, 2025 · 2:45 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Abby Turner of National Journal’s Hotline analyze the key messages and strategies ahead of the two biggest races of 2025 (the New Jersey and Virginia races for governor) as Republicans try to keep up their momentum from 2024 and Democrats try to get a bump…

Podcast Episode 54: Big Texas Senate Primary + Redistricting w/ Gabby Birenbaum of Texas Tribune

September 9, 2025 · 11:09 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Gabby Birenbaum of The Texas Tribune break down the critical Republican primary in the Texas Senate race between Sen. John Cornyn and state Attorney General Ken Paxton and analyze the five individual House seats most affected by Republicans’ mid-decade redistricting effort encouraged by President Donald…

A Detailed Analysis of Texas’ New Congressional Map

by Nathaniel Rakich August 27, 2025 · 10:57 AM EDT

Fearful of losing their majority in the House of Representatives, Republicans have embarked on a multi-state offensive to redraw congressional maps in their favor. This month, they won the first, and arguably biggest, battle of that campaign: The state legislature passed (and Gov. Greg Abbott will soon sign…

Podcast Episode 53: OH-IO Senate Rating Change + Redistricting w/ Kyle Kondik of Crystal Ball

August 21, 2025 · 3:37 PM EDT

Inside Elections' Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin along with Kyle Kondik of Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia dive into the Ohio Senate race where former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown is challenging Republican Sen. Jon Husted, who was appointed to replace Vice President J.D. Vance, in a…

A Detailed Analysis of California’s (Maybe) New Congressional Map

by Nathaniel Rakich August 21, 2025 · 1:49 PM EDT

If you thought the midterm elections wouldn’t start until 2026, think again. Control of multiple House seats will now effectively be decided this fall.

The California Legislature is soon expected to advance a new congressional map for the Golden State that is heavily biased in Democrats’ favor. It’s the party’s…

Parties Engage in Redistricting Arms Race

by Jacob Rubashkin August 14, 2025 · 2:30 PM EDT

In a typical decade, every state redraws its congressional map just once, following the decennial Census. While isolated court rulings may result in a handful of new maps after that, the life expectancy of a congressional district is generally 10 years.

That conventional wisdom is being tested like never before…