President News & Analysis

Post-CNN Debate Thoughts

by Stuart Rothenberg September 18, 2015 · 10:12 AM EDT

Given there are still four and one-half months until the Iowa caucuses, why would any Iowa Republican make a final decision right now about which candidate he or she will support?

Yet that didn’t stop CNN from treating Wednesday night’s GOP debate at the Reagan Library as the Super…

And the News Gets Worse for Clinton

by Stuart Rothenberg September 17, 2015 · 10:08 AM EDT

Compared to the Republican race for president, the Democratic contest looks almost normal.

Yes, Hillary Rodham Clinton’s poll numbers have plummeted so far and so fast that she trails an avowed socialist in Iowa and New Hampshire polls, and she looks so damaged that Vice President Joseph R. Biden…

A Significant Reassessment of the GOP Race

by Stuart Rothenberg September 10, 2015 · 12:48 PM EDT

Republican front-runner Donald Trump isn’t going away anytime soon, I now believe.

That assessment doesn’t mean I think Trump is the favorite for the Iowa caucuses or the GOP nomination, but it does reflect a fundamental shift in my thinking. I have believed and been arguing that once Iowa…

Missing the Boat on the Big Political News

by Stuart Rothenberg August 26, 2015 · 9:00 AM EDT

On Aug. 21, I did something — twice — that I rarely do. I tweeted. But it wasn’t about Donald Trump’s poll numbers or Hillary Rodham Clinton’s emails. It was about the stock market’s plunge.

While Trump’s latest salvo (no matter the subject) is always entertaining and the size…

Donald Trump and the Fight for the Senate

by Stuart Rothenberg August 21, 2015 · 1:59 PM EDT

As Donald Trump dominates the headlines and political talk show circuit, it’s worth pondering what impact he is having – or could have – on next year’s elections.

It probably goes without saying that there is little chance that the multi-millionaire real estate mogul and self-promoter will be the…

Stop the Presses: O’Malley Nabs Swalwell Endorsement

by Stuart Rothenberg August 14, 2015 · 12:10 PM EDT

Who knew the Democratic presidential race would be fundamentally changed in the blink of an eye? But that happened recently when California congressman Eric Swalwell, 34, endorsed former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley.

Well, maybe I’m exaggerating a little.

In the email I received from the O’Malley campaign announcing the…

One Last Hurrah for Joe Biden?

by Stuart Rothenberg August 6, 2015 · 10:20 AM EDT

The news that Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. is giving serious consideration to running for president spread like wildfire over the weekend.

That is understandable. Former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, the Democratic front-runner, has not exactly performed like a winner, and growing questions about her character,…

Chris Christie’s Conundrum

by Stuart Rothenberg July 29, 2015 · 10:03 AM EDT

On first glance, Christie’s bio and profile should make him a top-tier hopeful for the 2016 Republican nomination. But he isn’t — at least not right now. In this case, timing is everything.

A former county freeholder and U.S. attorney finishing his second term as governor in a very…

The Politics of Identity Politics

by Stuart Rothenberg July 24, 2015 · 9:00 AM EDT

“I’m tired of hyphenated Americans,” complains Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal in “We’re All Americans,” a television spot aired by Believe Again, the super PAC supporting the presidential hopeful’s bid.

“We’re not Indian-Americans or African-Americans or Asian-Americans. We’re all Americans,” he continues as the audience applauds.

Jindal thinks the way…

Who Will Benefit From the Issues Mix in 2016?

by Stuart Rothenberg July 17, 2015 · 8:55 AM EDT

Every election is different, but they almost always come down to one question: What is the election about?

Some elections are about one or both of the candidates (personality, preparedness or accomplishments), while others are merely about “change.” Some are about the economy in general, or jobs or inflation…