House News & Analysis
Republican Rep. Trent Franks resigned his seat in the midst of #MeToo movement and he will be replaced by a woman. But the recent special election primary wasn’t exactly smooth sailing for Republicans and the electoral trend across the country over the last year points to this Arizona 8th District…
California’s 48th District - Rating: Tilt Republican
Interview Date: Feb. 20, 2018
Date of Birth: Feb. 28, 1965; Dej, Romania
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: A lot of things would need to go right for Onufrei to win. First, he needs to finish in the top…
Minnesota’s 8th District - Rating: Toss-Up
Interview Date: Feb. 14, 2018
Date of Birth: May 10, 1956; Duluth, Minn.
Education: Lake Superior State Univ. (1990)
Elected Office: St. Louis County Commission; Hermantown City Council (former)
Current Outlook: Stauber is considered one of Republicans’ top recruits in the country. He still…
After months of speculation, the 2018 midterm elections are officially underway with initial primaries in Texas.
There's more evidence of a Democratic surge previously seen in Virginia and in special elections around the country, but also the reality that some of the swarm of Democratic candidates aren't even going to…
If elections and national surveys over the past year have shown us anything, it is that suburban voters could well be the key to the 2018 midterm House elections.
Turnout among minority voters and younger voters could affect the result in a district here or there, but an increase in…
Don’t say we didn’t warn you.
“While the Pennsylvania race isn’t getting much attention now, that should change next year, considering all of the 2017 special elections eventually became national stories,” my colleague Leah Askarinam wrote in the Dec. 15 issue of Inside Elections. “By the numbers, the 18th…
It might look like Republicans dodged a disaster in Arizona’s 8th District considering former state Sen. Steve Montenegro didn’t win Tuesday’s primary. But, as we’ve written before, Republicans seem to find new ways to make these special elections competitive, and Democrats everywhere are excited to send a message to President…
It is no secret that the Republican strategy to keep the House in 2018 includes running against Democratic House Leader Nancy Pelosi.
Both the National Republican Congressional Committee and the Congressional Leadership Fund super PAC have run television ads during special elections this cycle linking Democratic nominees to Pelosi, and…
I hear it all the time these days. The Democratic electoral wave is petering out. The generic ballot shows the Democrats’ advantage is cratering. President Donald Trump’s job approval ratings are up. Voters are giving the president more and more credit for the economy’s strength. Lighten up, political junkies, the…
If you’ve been wondering what political handicapping is like in a redistricting cycle (or it’s been long enough for you to forget), the Pennsylvania Supreme Court offered a good reminder. With newly-drawn districts, misplaced incumbents and new district numbers, confusion is inevitable. But the bottom line for Pennsylvania is that…