With a growing number of vulnerable House districts, there might be too much to watch for on election night. But by focusing on just a handful of states, you can get a pretty good idea of whether Democrats are having a good enough night to gain the 23 seats necessary to…
West Virginia’s 3rd District - Rating: Lean Republican
Interview Date: July 12, 2018
Date of Birth: Sept. 25,1970; Rochester, Minn.
Education: West Virginia State College (1997); Webster (MBA, 2004)
Elected Office: State senate (elected 2016); 3rd District candidate (2014)
Current Outlook: Rep. Evan Jenkins’ run for the Senate, which ended…
Ohio’s 14th District — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: July 12, 2018
Date of Birth: June 13, 1961; Coshocton, Ohio
Education: Ohio State Univ. (1982); Yale (JD 1986)
Elected Office: Candidate for county judge (2004)
Current Outlook: Attorney Betsy Rader is taking on the congressman in a northeast Ohio district…
Iowa’s 3rd District — Rating: Tilt Republican
Interview Date: July 12, 2018
Date of Birth: April 20, 1965; Grand Rapids, Mich.
Education: Univ. of Iowa (1987); Northwestern’s Kellogg School of Business (MBA 2002)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: The digital design firm owner won the crowded…
Maine’s 2nd District —Rating: Lean Republican
Interview Date: July 12, 2018
Date of Birth: July 25, 1982; Lewiston, Maine
Education: Bates College (2007); Univ. of Maine-Farmington (attended)
Elected Office: State House (elected 2014; re-elected 2016)
Current Outlook: Golden won a competitive Democratic primary in June and will face GOP Rep.…
Iowa’s 4th District — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: July 27, 2018
Date of Birth: March 4, 1980; Ames, Iowa
Education: Univ. of Nebraska (2003); Morningside College (attended)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Rep. Steve King, who makes headlines for inflammatory comments about immigrants, might not…
California’s 21st District — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: July 12, 2018
Date of Birth: July 18, 1963; Walnut Creek, Calif.
Education: Univ. of Nevada (1986); Southern Methodist Univ. (MBA 1999)
Elected Office: None; 19th District candidate (2006)
Current Outlook: Democrats convinced T.J. Cox, who was originally running in the…
When I saw Ohio Democrat Aftab Pureval playing softball in a campaign ad, I felt like my years of election analysis and beer-league softball were finally coming together.
Pureval, the Hamilton County clerk of courts, is challenging Republican Rep. Steve Chabot in Ohio’s 1st District. He’s running a competitive…
Whenever a member of Congress is indicted, it’s a good idea to take a long, hard look at their re-election chances. It’s also reasonable to believe their prospects for another term would be diminished and political handicappers would immediately downgrade their race. But it’s not so simple with GOP Rep.…
This cycle, the wave analogy has been watered down and it’s time for a new metaphor: fire. More specifically, fires.
Whether it’s GOP Members in Hillary Clinton districts, extraordinary Democratic challengers and fundraising, competitive open seats, or lazy incumbents, Republicans have dozens of fires around the country, and the party…
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