What will be the biggest surprise on election night?
It’s a common and valid question, but I’m always a little amused by it.
If I were able to identify a completely unexpected or astonishing event that would happen a month from now, then that event shouldn’t be considered completely unexpected…
By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam
The worst time to analyze the political fallout from an event is in the middle of it. And that’s about where we are with the Brett Kavanaugh confirmation process.
The hearing and testimony from the judge and his accuser, Dr. Christine Blasey Ford,…
Arizona’s 2nd District (Open; Martha McSally, R, running for Senate). Clinton 49.6%. Former Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick has at least a narrow advantage over Republican Lea Marquez-Peterson in the race for the open seat. Republicans love their candidate and the NRCC is spending some money on the race. But this is…
Democratic Blueprint. At a press conference Sept. 18, Washington Gov. Jay Inslee, the chairman of the Democratic Governors Association, called the current cycle of gubernatorial races a “generational election” and an opportunity to rid of the “scourge of gerrymandering.” In our last gubernatorial overview, we pointed out that 26 of…
Ohio’s 4th District — Rating: Solid Republican
Interview Date: Sept. 6, 2018
Date of Birth: Feb. 23, 1953; Troy, Ohio
Education: Kent State (1995; Master’s 1980)
Elected Office: 4th District nominee (2014, 2016)
Current Outlook: In a district where Hillary Clinton couldn’t break 31 percent, GOP Rep. Jim Jordan is…
After two years of campaigning in the latest most consequential election of our lifetimes, election night could be a huge letdown. The disappointment is not about which party prevails Nov. 6, but the reality that a combination of close races and West Coast contests could prevent enough races from being…
I’m pretty sure three new profiles of Texas Democrat Beto O’Rourke have been published in the time it took me to write this lede. Yet the only thing more remarkable than the sheer volume of stories written about the congressman is that none of them put his 2012 House victory…
By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam
After nearly two years of campaigning, 52 days is still plenty of time for the midterm elections to develop.
Most of the races are finally fully engaged and the rest of September will be the proving ground for the effectiveness of GOP attack…
Republicans’ Slumping Surveys. President Donald Trump’s job approval rating dipped across the board, which should be disconcerting for Republicans on the ballot this fall. Fundamentally, midterm elections are most often a referendum on the president. And if voters are dissatisfied with the president’s performance, they can’t vote against him, so…
Arizona’s 2nd District (Open; Martha McSally, R, running for Senate). Clinton 49.6%. Republicans are excited about their nominee, Lea Marquez Peterson, but it won’t be easy to hold Rep. Martha McSally’s open seat. Former 1st District Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick won a competitive Democratic primary. She took heat for moderate positions…
Individual & Group Subscriptions Available