Inside Elections

2022 Senate Ratings (June 29, 2022)

June 29, 2022 · 12:38 PM EDT

An Early Look at (Too) Early Data on SCOTUS Abortion Ruling

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 27, 2022 · 7:12 PM EDT

The Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision overturning Roe v. Wade is a historic event, but it will take at least a few weeks, if not longer, to know whether it is an election-changing event. 

Arguably the worst time to measure the political impact of an event is while it is still going on. The second…

Iowa 3: Axne on the Front Lines

by Jacob Rubashkin June 17, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

What a difference a few years makes.

In 2018, Democrats barnstormed Iowa, flipping two congressional districts, holding another, and nearly winning the deeply Republican 4th District and the governor’s mansion for the first time in over a decade.

But in 2020, Republicans stormed right back,…

Report Shorts (June 17, 2022)

June 17, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama
Senate. Rep. Mo Brooks was left for politically dead after former President Donald Trump rescinded his endorsement. But he still managed to revive his campaign enough for a second-place finish, with 29 percent to Katie Boyd Britt’s 45 percent. Veteran Mike Durant’s once-high-flying effort…

Rating change: Texas’ 34th District moves onto fall battlefield

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 15, 2022 · 4:19 PM EDT

While it’s wise not to overreact to special election outcomes, don’t dismiss Republican Mayra Flores’ special election victory in Texas' 34th District. 

There are some reasons to qualify Tuesday’s outcome, including the fact that Republicans outspent Democrats by a sizable margin, and the seat is…

2022 House Ratings (June 15, 2022)

June 15, 2022 · 4:18 PM EDT

New Hampshire Redistricting: Finally

by Jacob Rubashkin June 7, 2022 · 4:16 PM EDT

It was never supposed to be this difficult.

Following the 2020 Census, New Hampshire was apportioned two congressional districts: the same number it has had since 1883.

That means mapmakers had the job of drawing one single line, dividing the state into two seats. And for the past century, they…

Pennsylvania 7: Same Faces, Different Races

by Jacob Rubashkin June 3, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

One of 2022’s most competitive House races will feature some familiar faces.

In the heart of the Lehigh Valley, Rep. Susan Wild will once again face CEO and philanthropist Lisa Scheller for the right to represent Pennsylvania’s 7th District, two years after Wild narrowly defeated Scheller.

The…

Missouri Redistricting: Elusive Competitiveness

by Bradley Wascher June 3, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

One of the last states to finalize its new congressional map, Missouri, ended up with a plan that will probably keep the partisan breakdown of its delegation intact. But a pair of open-seat races still guarantees some turnover in the next Congress.

Republican Gov. Mike Parson signed off on the new…

2022 House Ratings (June 3, 2022)

June 3, 2022 · 2:25 PM EDT