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Initial 2024 Presidential Battleground State Ratings

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 26, 2023 · 12:29 PM EDT

It’s not just the candidates who could look the same next fall.

With President Joe Biden’s re-election announcement this week and former President Donald Trump’s announcement last year, it looks like the old cast from the 2020 presidential race is back for a 2024 sequel. And the battleground of…

2024 Senate Overview: Three’s Company

April 21, 2023 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales, Erin Covey, and Jacob Rubashkin

Republicans have yet another good opportunity to win control of the Senate in 2024. They just need some strong candidates to do it.

Considering the favorable Senate battlefield, narrow Democratic majority, and an unpopular Democratic…

2024 Senate Overview (April 21, 2023): Arizona - Maine

April 21, 2023 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) elected 2018 as a Democrat (50%). Filing deadline April 8. Several unknown factors make it difficult to forecast Arizona’s upcoming Senate race.

The incumbent senator has yet to announce her 2024 plans. Sinema’s $2.1 million fundraising haul this past quarter provides…

2024 Senate Overview (April 21, 2023): Maryland - Ohio

April 21, 2023 · 2:28 PM EDT

Maryland. Ben Cardin (D) elected 2006 (54%), 2012 (56%), 2018 (65%). Filing deadline Jan. 19. Cardin said in January he’d announce his plans in February or March, but he’s been mum since. However, he raised just $15,000 in the first three months of 2023, a paltry sum that set off a renewed round of…

2024 Senate Overview (April 21, 2023): Pennsylvania - Wyoming

April 21, 2023 · 2:27 PM EDT

Pennsylvania. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%), 2018 (56%). Filing deadline Feb. 2024. Democrats can breathe a sigh of relief now that Casey has announced his 2024 campaign. The longtime senator and son of Pennsylvania Gov. Bob Casey Sr. has a last name that’s worth political gold,…

Report Shorts (April 21, 2023)

April 21, 2023 · 2:26 PM EDT

California’s 47th District. Former Rep. Harley Rouda ended his comeback bid after suffering a traumatic brain injury. The Democrat was angling to succeed Rep. Katie Porter, who is running for Senate. That leaves state Sen. Dave Min as the most notable Democrat in the race, though attorney Joanna…

Gubernatorial ‘Nepo Babies’

by Jacob Rubashkin April 12, 2023 · 1:45 PM EDT

“I’m not a politician,” begins a recent fundraising email from Missouri gubernatorial candidate Jay Ashcroft. “I’m an engineer.”

Ashcroft may be an engineer, but as a two-term secretary of state, gubernatorial candidate, and former state Senate hopeful, he’s certainly a politician as well. And…

California 27: Turning Over a New Candidate

by Jacob Rubashkin April 7, 2023 · 1:30 PM EDT

For three consecutive elections, Republican Mike Garcia has bedeviled Democrats by winning a left-trending Los Angeles County seat despite amassing a staunchly conservative record in Congress. But Democrats have a renewed optimism this cycle, because for the first time in four years, they’ll have a…

Pennsylvania House: Three Key Races in the Keystone State

by Erin Covey April 7, 2023 · 1:29 PM EDT

Across the country, Republican candidates who embraced former President Donald Trump’s MAGA agenda and echoed his false stolen election claims lost a tranche of winnable races in battleground states last cycle. 

Nowhere was this more obvious than in Pennsylvania, where Republican gubernatorial…