Archive

Illinois 14: New Lauzen Poll Shows Dead Heat

November 6, 2007 · 4:26 PM EST

Chris Lauzen (R) is pushing back against some conventional wisdom, and has numbers to make his case. The state senator is running to replace former House Speaker Dennis Hastert in Illinois 14, but faces a very competitive primary with wealthy businessman Jim Oberweis (R).

An October 22-23 Public…

2008 Senate Ratings

November 5, 2007 · 10:05 PM EST

Here are our latest Senate ratings.



Lean Takeover (1 R, 0 D)
  • VA Open (Warner, R)
Toss-Up (3 R, 1 D)
  • CO Open (Allard, R)
  • NM Open (Domenici, R)
  • Sununu (R-NH)
  • Landrieu (D-LA)
Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (3 R, 0 D)
  • Coleman (R-MN)
  • Collins (R-ME)

Memo to Merkley: Be Careful How You Criticize Sen. Smith

by Stuart Rothenberg November 4, 2007 · 11:05 PM EST

The newspaper headlines could well read “Democrat Merkley Blasts Feinstein, Dorgan and Johnson,” or possibly “Democrat Attacks Leading Democrats.”

That’s because Oregon Senate candidate Jeff Merkley (D) apparently was more concerned with scoring political points than thinking through the…

New Print Edition: 2008 Senate Outlook

November 2, 2007 · 2:46 PM EDT
The November 2, 2007 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and…

Here We Go Again: An Anti-Incumbent Wave Next Year?

by Stuart Rothenberg November 1, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Some story lines never go away.

This year, once again, there is buzz that 2008 might be an anti-incumbent election that will sweep out sitting House Members of both parties. National Republican Congressional Committee Chairman Tom Cole (Okla.) has been making that case for months, and more than…

Rothenberg Highlights Dangerous Not Quite Dozen Open Seats

by Stuart Rothenberg October 29, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

For a number of cycles now, I’ve periodically focused on open House seats as a way of evaluating the direction of the overall cycle. No, there still aren’t a dozen open seats that could possibly flip party control. But there are enough open seats worth rating. The list below starts with the seats…

Partisan Politics and Democrats’ Turkey Problem

by Stuart Rothenberg October 26, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

If there is anything that points out the difference between most Republicans and most Democrats, it is Congress’ effort to pass a resolution that labels Turkey’s slaughter of Armenians almost a century ago as “genocide.”

The White House has opposed the action, which has been pushed by House…

It’s Still Clinton & Romney in New Saint Anselm Survey

October 25, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

A new poll conducted by SRBI Research of New York City for the New Hampshire Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm College shows New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton holding a commanding 21-point lead in the state’s Democratic primary and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with a…

New Print Edition: New Hampshire Senate & New York 19

October 24, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

The October 22, 2007 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and…

Republican Recruiting

by Stuart Rothenberg October 23, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

In the face of growing dissatisfaction with the Iraq War and President Bush, Republicans have recruited an increasing number of military veterans to run for Congress in 2008 — including some soldiers currently serving overseas who will begin campaigning upon their return.

Those Republican…