Archive

Idaho Senate Race: Over Before It Began?

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 24, 2008 · 1:07 PM EDT

Former Rep. Larry LaRocco (D) lost his 2006 bid to become Idaho’s lieutenant governor against Jim Risch (R). The two men are facing each other again this cycle for the Senate, and when LaRocco entered the race, some local Democrats and enthusiastic bloggers tried to make the case that 2008 was a…

2008 House Ratings

September 23, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here are our latest House ratings. Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. For our race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition of the Report.

# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
^ = Newly…

What’s the Top Electoral College State This Year?

by Stuart Rothenberg September 22, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Two months ago in this space, I identified five states that I argued would pick the next president. Tell me how these states — Ohio, Colorado, Virginia, Nevada and Michigan — will go in November, I wrote, and I’ll tell you who will be our next president (“The Big 5: Picking the States That Will…

2008 Gubernatorial Ratings

September 21, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. Democrats currently hold 28 governorships compared to 22 for the Republicans.

# - Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans



LEAN TAKEOVER (1 R, o D)
  • MO Open (Blunt, R)
TOSS-UP (0 R, 2 D)

  • Gregoire…

With Risk Comes Some Loss for EMILY’s List

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 19, 2008 · 2:03 PM EDT

EMILY’s List has earned a reputation as a powerful interest group and has had its share of political victories through the years. When EMILY’s List endorses a candidate, people take notice. But you only have to look at last week’s primaries in New York to understand that the road isn’t always…

New Print Edition: Gubernatorial Outlook, House Ratings, Presidential Battleground

September 19, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The September 18, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks (even more frequently as Election Day approaches) and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive…

Now It’s the DCCC That Is Swimming Against the Tide

by Stuart Rothenberg September 18, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

In a curious coincidence of timing, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has added a number of Congressional districts to its various lists of competitive contests at exactly the same time that Republicans are seeing an uptick in their poll and fundraising numbers and an improved…

NRCC’s Spending Points to Potential Hot Spots

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 17, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Strapped for cash, the National Republican Congressional Committee will have to be more efficient than its counterpart when it comes to spending on House races. Recent independent expenditure spending on polling shows that the NRCC is searching for the best use of the money and proves that the…

Indiana 3: Democrats Claim Souder Is Vulnerable — Again

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 16, 2008 · 12:06 AM EDT

A new poll done for young Democratic attorney Mike Montagano’s campaign claims that voters in Indiana’s 3rd district are tired of their incumbent, Rep. Mark Souder (R). But the results show Montagano still has some considerable ground to make up, and the polling looks similar to two years ago,…

Beyond Congressional Battleground, Close Gubernatorial Races Lurk

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 16, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Even with the tightening of the presidential race and renewed GOP excitement, Democrats are still widely expected to gain seats in the House and the Senate in November. But Republicans could actually see a net gain of seats in this year’s small crop of gubernatorial races.

Only 11 states are…