Archive

Massachusetts Senate: Kerry Visits ‘South Pacific’ for Re-Election Bid

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 16, 2008 · 10:15 AM EDT

With Election Day just three weeks away, Sen. John Kerry (D) doesn’t seem the least bit worried about his re-election. The Massachusetts Senator was spotted exiting the Lincoln Center Theater in Manhattan on Saturday night after catching the revival of Rodgers and Hammerstein’s “South Pacific.”

Swing Districts Will Show What Election Night Looks Like

by Stuart Rothenberg October 16, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

As we inch toward November, it looks as if a couple of dozen House races will determine whether Democrats will have a terrific night or merely a good one. Expectations continue to change, and the bar is getting very, very high for Democrats.

Eighteen months ago, the idea that the Democratic…

2008 Senate Ratings (October 10, 2008)

October 15, 2008 · 1:06 AM EDT

Here are our latest Senate ratings. Our latest estimate is a Democratic gain of 6-9 seats.

# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans



Likely Takeover (2 R, 0 D)
  • NM Open (Domenici, R)
  • VA Open (Warner, R)
Lean Takeover (5 R, 0 D)

  • Dole…

Candidate Gets Very Early Start

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 15, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Rick Hendrix announced his 2010 campaign for Congress a few weeks ago. But his campaign is off to an unconventional start — beginning with the fact that he hasn’t chosen a district to run in yet.

That hasn’t stopped the entertainment industry insider from promoting his candidacy, however.

Why is Dole Vulnerable and Not Collins?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 14, 2008 · 9:54 PM EDT

WASHINGTON (CNN) — Two years ago, as the 2007-2008 election cycle was beginning, one female Republican senator up for re-election looked to be in serious danger: Maine’s Susan Collins.

But with just three weeks left until Election Day, the moderate Collins now appears to be one of the few…

2008 House Ratings (October 10, 2008)

October 14, 2008 · 1:06 AM EDT

Here are our latest House ratings. Our latest estimate is a Democratic gain of 25-30 seats.

Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. For our race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition of the Report.

# = Moved benefiting…

Michigan 9: State Democrats Try to Use Palin as Wedge

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 14, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

For the last three years, the predominant Democratic strategy has been to tie every breathing Republican to unpopular President Bush. Now, Michigan Democrats believe coupling the GOP vice presidential nominee, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, with Rep. Joe Knollenberg (R) will help them win his seat.

2008 Presidential Battleground Ratings

October 13, 2008 · 12:14 AM EDT

Total Electoral Votes
(270 needed to win)

Obama - 214 (safe/likely) + 72 (lean) = 286
McCain - 160 (safe/likely) + 23 (lean) = 163
Toss-ups = 89

Toss-Ups


  • Florida (27)
  • Indiana (11)
  • Missouri (11)
  • Nevada (5)
  • North Carolina (15)
  • Ohio (20)

Lean McCain

Big Five States: Tough and Getting Tougher for McCain

by Stuart Rothenberg October 13, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

A few months ago in this space, I wrote that if you tell me who will win Colorado, Virginia, Nevada, Ohio and Michigan, I can tell you who will win the White House in November (The Big Five: Picking the States That Will Pick the President, July 17, 2008).

With the campaign of Republican…

California 3: Democratic Poll in California Shows Lungren Is Soft

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 12, 2008 · 8:42 PM EDT

Maybe it’s the crummy national environment or maybe it was the topless attack ad, but a new Democratic poll in California’s 3rd district shows that Rep. Dan Lungren (R) may not be safe.

An Oct. 4-6 survey by Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin and Associates (D) for physician Bill Durston (D) showed…